- Lead
- 18,484
- Total
- 55,341
- vs nation
- R+31.9
Elizabethtown, KY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 15,912
- Total
- 56,242
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Lead
- 16,548
- Total
- 49,523
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Lead
- 10,321
- Total
- 44,982
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Lead
- 10,486
- Total
- 46,168
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Lead
- 15,408
- Total
- 42,409
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Lead
- 9,526
- Total
- 35,869
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Lead
- 1,711
- Total
- 31,275
- vs nation
- R+14.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 127,0492024 5-year
- Population density
- 144 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 885 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,5782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.0 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bowling Green, KY · twin score 79.2
presidential history
Party record book
Elizabethtown, KY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
67.8%
8,697 votes · D+36.4
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 67.0%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
68.2%
17,166 votes · R+37.0
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 67.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
19,605votes
34.9% of the vote · R+28.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,961 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
36,445votes
65.9% of the vote · R+33.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 35,517 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+46.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.8 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +45.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+35.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.4 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +33.9 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 27 points more Republican than the rolls.
100,891 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+512 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,710 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −456 |
| 2012 | −612 |
| 2013 | −399 |
| 2014 | −1,429 |
| 2015 | −3,125 |
| 2016 | −78 |
| 2017 | +759 |
| 2018 | +1,669 |
| 2019 | +357 |
| 2021 | +945 |
| 2022 | +62 |
| 2023 | +363 |
| 2024 | −278 |
| 2025 | +512 |
Anchored by Fort Knox and a manufacturing base along the I-65 corridor, the Elizabethtown metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily white, working-class composition of Hardin and surrounding counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 37.0 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.4 points.
A population of 127,049, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,578 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bowling Green, KY and Washington, IN.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Elizabethtown, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/21060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.