HarrisDemocratic31.4%24,653TrumpRepublican67.1%52,639OtherAll other candidates1.5%1,207
R+35.7- Lead
- 27,986
- Total
- 78,499
- vs nation
- R+34.2
Akashicmetro area
Bowling Green, KY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic34.3%26,427TrumpRepublican63.8%49,166OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,429
R+29.5- Lead
- 22,739
- Total
- 77,022
- vs nation
- R+34.0
ClintonDemocratic30.0%20,241TrumpRepublican64.9%43,702OtherAll other candidates5.1%3,427
R+34.8- Lead
- 23,461
- Total
- 67,370
- vs nation
- R+36.9
ObamaDemocratic35.0%21,280RomneyRepublican63.4%38,516OtherAll other candidates1.5%935
R+28.4- Lead
- 17,236
- Total
- 60,731
- vs nation
- R+32.2
ObamaDemocratic36.9%22,900McCainRepublican62.0%38,509OtherAll other candidates1.1%703
R+25.1- Lead
- 15,609
- Total
- 62,112
- vs nation
- R+32.4
KerryDemocratic33.7%19,541BushRepublican65.6%38,006OtherAll other candidates0.7%386
R+31.9- Lead
- 18,465
- Total
- 57,933
- vs nation
- R+29.4
GoreDemocratic34.7%17,139BushRepublican63.9%31,554OtherAll other candidates1.4%716
R+29.2- Lead
- 14,415
- Total
- 49,409
- vs nation
- R+29.7
ClintonDemocratic37.6%16,278DoleRepublican55.3%23,966OtherAll other candidates7.1%3,060
R+17.8- Lead
- 7,688
- Total
- 43,304
- vs nation
- R+26.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 186,9592024 5-year
- Population density
- 116 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,614 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,9332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Richmond-Berea, KY · twin score 85.0
presidential history
Party record book
Bowling Green, KY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
54.1%
15,580 votes · D+8.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 54.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
69.5%
19,230 votes · R+39.1
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 69.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
26,427votes
34.3% of the vote · R+29.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 24,653 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
52,639votes
67.1% of the vote · R+35.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 49,166 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+18.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +13.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+36.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +34.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+16.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+35.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Republican than the rolls.
131,287 registered voters · 2024
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,738 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +19,142 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +645 |
| 2012 | +339 |
| 2013 | +799 |
| 2014 | +796 |
| 2015 | +1,535 |
| 2016 | +1,014 |
| 2017 | +1,898 |
| 2018 | +1,090 |
| 2019 | +1,570 |
| 2021 | +1,952 |
| 2022 | +2,618 |
| 2023 | +1,619 |
| 2024 | +1,529 |
| 2025 | +1,738 |
Bowling Green's electorate has trended reliably Republican at the federal level, but its large international refugee and immigrant community — one of Kentucky's most diverse — adds demographic complexity that distinguishes it from surrounding rural counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 40.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.7 points.
A population of 186,959, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,933 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Richmond-Berea, KY and Joplin, MO-KS.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Richmond-Berea, KY
85.0twin score
2000–2008 trajectory% Evangelical
Joplin, MO-KS
81.5twin score
2000–2008 trajectory% Evangelical≠ American ancestry
Elizabethtown, KY
79.2twin score
2000–2008 trajectory% Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/14540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Places within Bowling Green, KY
Frequently asked questions
How did Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 35.7 points (R+35.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 78,499 votes cast, 24,653 went Democratic and 52,639 went Republican.
When did Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky?
Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky has a population of 186,959 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky is $63,933 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bowling Green, KY, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.