akashic
1876–2024
Scott County, Kentucky
Scott County·Kentucky

For eighty-eight years, Scott County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A fast-growing Bluegrass county where Toyota's presence shapes the workforce

18762024·38 elections
Scott County, Kentucky · W.marsh · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+28
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
59,536
2024 ACS
Most similar
Boyle County
KY · similarity 1.00
11 precincts · 29,769 votes cast
Trump · R+28
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−27.7%
10,50118,74729,769
2020R
−24.9%
10,56717,76728,969
2016R
−30.3%
7,71515,05224,200
2012R
−25.0%
7,53212,67920,573
2008R
−20.6%
7,71211,78219,730
2004R
−25.1%
6,32510,60017,050
2000R
−18.0%
5,4727,95213,786
1996R
−0.9%
4,2584,3499,615
1992R
−1.8%
3,6393,8109,273
1988R
−13.9%
3,3804,4827,908
1984R
−26.0%
2,6064,4617,144
1980D
+9.9%
3,5312,8686,667
1976D
+12.6%
3,1182,4085,638
1972R
−32.1%
1,6423,2555,026
1968D
+4.3%
1,9611,7484,984
1964D
+42.2%
3,2891,3304,639
1960D
+8.3%
2,5982,2004,798
1956D
+19.0%
2,8601,9404,848
1952D
+20.8%
3,1712,0775,261
1948D
+43.8%
3,5481,3525,014
1944D
+38.8%
3,6271,5895,248
1940D
+38.4%
4,0391,7955,849
1936D
+36.1%
3,9661,8615,838
1932D
+40.1%
4,5721,9436,551
1928R
−5.8%
2,8433,1926,043
1924D
+23.7%
3,8052,3346,207
1920D
+30.4%
4,9932,6617,679
1916D
+27.3%
2,6111,4864,125
1912D
+33.6%
2,3611,0473,905
1908D
+15.8%
2,4761,7944,313
1904D
+15.9%
2,3741,7134,161
1900D
+9.2%
2,5392,1074,687
1896D
+2.8%
2,2372,1114,481
1892D
+23.6%
1,9991,2013,381
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
3.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
11.2%
Other Christian
9.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.6%
Methodist
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Scott County has added residents steadily as Georgetown's Toyota manufacturing plant anchors its economy, yet that growth hasn't loosened a consistent Republican presidential margin that widened to nearly 28 points in 2024.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Scott County peaked at forty-four points in 1948; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1984 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty-six points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Scott County's median household income of $85,158 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boyle County and Tattnall County.