Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Lexington-Fayette, KY
presidential margin
2008R+6.32012R+10.22016R+6.92020D+2.22024R+1.4
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+1.4
2024
median income$71,865U.S. $80,734 · KY $63,726
median age36.8U.S. 39.1 · KY 39.2
poverty rate13.8%U.S. 12.5% · KY 16.1%
bachelor’s+ (25+)42.1%U.S. 35.6% · KY 27.7%
non-english12.0%U.S. 22.3% · KY 6.8%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English15.3%
German11.9%
Irish11.1%
African American†9.5%
African0.3%
Nigerian0.3%
Mexican5.1%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Cuban0.4%
Chinese0.7%
Asian Indian0.5%
Nepalese0.4%
religion
other traditions
Mainline8.1%
Black Protestant3.4%
Latter-day Saints1.2%
Other Christian0.9%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky

Akashic
Lexington-Fayette, KYTrumpR+1.4
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Lexington-Fayette, KY, KYA map of the constituent counties of Lexington-Fayette, KY, KY, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Bourbon County, KY · R+33.5Clark County, KY · R+35.3Fayette County, KY · D+18.1Jessamine County, KY · R+35.8Scott County, KY · R+27.7Woodford County, KY · R+14.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican49.7%120,601
Kamala HarrisDemocratic48.3%117,200
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent2.1%5,003
D+60
R+60
6 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (6 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Lexington-Fayette, KY, KY — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Bourbon County, KYRepublicanR+33.5
Clark County, KYRepublicanR+35.3
Fayette County, KYDemocraticD+18.1
Jessamine County, KYRepublicanR+35.8
Scott County, KYRepublicanR+27.7
Woodford County, KYRepublicanR+14.3
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
48.3%Harris117,200
49.7%Trump120,601
2.1%Kennedy5,003
−1.4%
242,804
D
50.0%Biden125,564
47.8%Trump120,086
2.2%Jorgensen5,509
+2.2%
251,159
R
43.2%Clinton96,092
50.1%Trump111,396
6.7%Johnson14,924
−6.9%
222,412
R
43.8%Obama88,799
54.0%Romney109,549
2.2%Johnson4,395
−10.2%
202,743
R
46.2%Obama94,151
52.5%McCain106,991
1.3%Nader2,696
−6.3%
203,838
R
42.4%Kerry83,134
56.8%Bush111,408
0.9%Nader1,700
−14.4%
196,242
R
42.3%Gore69,343
54.6%Bush89,589
3.1%Nader5,104
−12.3%
164,036
R
45.7%Clinton64,245
46.6%Dole65,566
7.7%Perot10,809
−0.9%
140,620
R
39.3%Clinton56,657
44.0%Bush63,516
16.7%Perot24,135
−4.8%
144,308
R
39.6%Dukakis48,587
59.4%Bush72,753
1.0%Duke1,210
−19.7%
122,550
R
34.9%Mondale42,480
64.2%Reagan78,247
0.9%Mason1,142
−29.3%
121,869
R
44.9%Carter49,186
48.3%Reagan52,908
6.8%Anderson7,466
−3.4%
109,560
R
46.7%Carter44,693
50.8%Ford48,679
2.5%Anderson2,396
−4.2%
95,768
R
30.8%McGovern27,887
66.9%Nixon60,485
2.3%Schmitz2,051
−36.1%
90,423
R
34.7%Humphrey26,794
45.9%Nixon35,481
19.4%Wallace14,965
−11.2%
77,240
D
61.2%Johnson42,338
38.3%Goldwater26,493
0.4%Hass296
+22.9%
69,127
R
43.4%Kennedy29,228
56.6%Nixon38,079
0.0%
−13.2%
67,307
R
44.3%Stevenson27,378
54.8%Eisenhower33,859
0.9%Andrews557
−10.5%
61,794
D
50.7%Stevenson29,302
49.0%Eisenhower28,312
0.3%Hallinan181
+1.7%
57,795
D
58.7%Truman28,080
37.8%Dewey18,072
3.5%Thurmond1,660
+20.9%
47,812
D
59.6%Roosevelt29,210
39.8%Dewey19,496
0.6%Thomas297
+19.8%
49,003
D
59.7%Roosevelt33,542
40.0%Willkie22,469
0.3%Thomas169
+19.7%
56,180
D
59.3%Roosevelt32,049
40.2%Landon21,746
0.5%Lemke281
+19.1%
54,076
D
61.7%Roosevelt36,069
37.7%Hoover22,021
0.7%Thomas383
+24.0%
58,473
R
40.6%Smith22,937
59.3%Hoover33,534
0.1%Thomas56
−18.7%
56,527
D
51.5%Davis27,071
47.0%Coolidge24,718
1.4%La Follette749
+4.5%
52,538
D
57.3%Cox34,722
41.9%Harding25,394
0.7%Debs444
+15.4%
60,560
D
56.4%Wilson17,807
42.7%Hughes13,482
0.9%Benson277
+13.7%
31,566
D
53.3%Wilson15,379
33.2%Taft9,581
13.5%Roosevelt3,905
+20.1%
28,865
D
53.7%Bryan16,020
44.7%Taft13,353
1.6%Debs482
+8.9%
29,855
D
55.5%Parker15,607
42.8%Roosevelt12,017
1.7%Debs484
+12.8%
28,108
D
49.9%Bryan14,822
48.7%McKinley14,469
1.3%Woolley399
+1.2%
29,690
R
46.2%Bryan13,414
51.2%McKinley14,872
2.5%Palmer733
−5.0%
29,019
D
55.3%Cleveland12,257
40.2%Harrison8,907
4.5%Weaver986
+15.1%
22,150
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −1.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−1.4%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+15.1%
1896−5.0%
1900+1.2%
1904+12.8%
1908+8.9%
1912+20.1%
1916+13.7%
1920+15.4%
1924+4.5%
1928−18.7%
1932+24.0%
1936+19.1%
1940+19.7%
1944+19.8%
1948+20.9%
1952+1.7%
1956−10.5%
1960−13.2%
1964+22.9%
1968−11.2%
1972−36.1%
1976−4.2%
1980−3.4%
1984−29.3%
1988−19.7%
1992−4.8%
1996−0.9%
2000−12.3%
2004−14.4%
2008−6.3%
2012−10.2%
2016−6.9%
2020+2.2%
2024−1.4%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time

405,030 registered voters · 2024

Democratic47.1%Republican40.3%Unaffiliated6.0%Other6.6%
Source: Kentucky State Board of Elections

Lexington anchors the Bluegrass region as Kentucky's second-largest metro, where a large university population and white-collar professional growth have gradually narrowed margins that once ran heavily in one direction.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 36.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.4 points.

A population of 522,560, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,865 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Athens-Clarke County, GA and Bloomington, IL.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Athens-Clarke County, GA
88.2twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorycollege share
Bloomington, IL
84.1twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ German ancestry
Asheville, NC
84.1twin score
12-yr trendcollege share2020–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/30460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Lexington-Fayette, KY

counties6
Bourbon CountyClark CountyFayette CountyJessamine CountyScott CountyWoodford County

Frequently asked questions

How did Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 1.4 points (R+1.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 242,804 votes cast, 117,200 went Democratic and 120,601 went Republican.
When did Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky?
Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky has a population of 522,560 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky is $71,865 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lexington-Fayette, KY, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.