Texas City, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +19.4% |
| 2008 | +18.2% |
| 2012 | +15.8% |
| 2016 | +9.9% |
| 2020 | +8.8% |
| 2024 | −1.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 49.0%Harris9,790 | 50.1%Trump10,021 | 0.9% | R+1.2 | R+10.0 | D+0.3 | 19,989 | |
| D | 53.9%Biden9,764 | 45.0%Trump8,165 | 1.1% | D+8.8 | R+1.1 | D+4.4 | 18,127 | |
| D | 53.5%Clinton7,615 | 43.6%Trump6,203 | 3.0% | D+9.9 | R+5.9 | D+7.8 | 14,239 | |
| D | 57.2%Obama8,239 | 41.4%Romney5,963 | 1.4% | D+15.8 | R+2.4 | D+12.0 | 14,399 | |
| D | 58.7%Obama8,449 | 40.5%McCain5,830 | 0.8% | D+18.2 | R+1.2 | D+10.9 | 14,389 | |
| D | 59.3%Kerry9,082 | 39.9%Bush6,111 | 0.8% | D+19.4 | — | D+21.9 | 15,313 |
Texas City's industrial waterfront economy and rapidly expanding Latino population have gradually compressed the wide Republican margins that once defined Galveston County's mainland precincts, making it a reliable bellwether for demographic shifts along the upper Gulf Coast.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.4 points in 2004 and a Republican high of 1.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.2 points.
A population of 55,364, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,776 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Bernardino and Galveston.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Texas City. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4872392/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.