Seguin, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −25.8% |
| 2008 | −10.9% |
| 2012 | −12.3% |
| 2016 | −11.2% |
| 2020 | −11.2% |
| 2024 | −24.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 37.4%Harris4,402 | 61.4%Trump7,221 | 1.2% | R+24.0 | R+12.7 | R+22.5 | 11,768 | |
| R | 43.8%Biden4,474 | 55.1%Trump5,619 | 1.1% | R+11.2 | ±0.0 | R+15.7 | 10,203 | |
| R | 41.8%Clinton3,467 | 53.1%Trump4,398 | 5.1% | R+11.2 | D+1.0 | R+13.3 | 8,285 | |
| R | 43.1%Obama3,251 | 55.4%Romney4,178 | 1.5% | R+12.3 | R+1.4 | R+16.1 | 7,545 | |
| R | 44.0%Obama3,548 | 54.9%McCain4,426 | 1.0% | R+10.9 | D+14.9 | R+18.2 | 8,056 | |
| R | 37.1%Kerry2,825 | 62.9%Bush4,794 | 0.1% | R+25.8 | — | R+23.4 | 7,624 |
Seguin sits at the edge of the San Antonio metro's expansion zone, drawing blue-collar and new-resident voters in roughly equal measure. Its Guadalupe County context has trended Republican at the county level, but city-level margins remain narrower than the surrounding precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 25.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 12.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.0 points.
A population of 33,754, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,861 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hesperia and Galt.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Seguin, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4866644/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.