McKinney, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −50.4% |
| 2008 | −29.9% |
| 2012 | −34.9% |
| 2016 | −21.5% |
| 2020 | −7.2% |
| 2024 | −12.1% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 42.7%Harris37,894 | 54.9%Trump48,644 | 2.4% | R+12.1 | R+5.0 | R+10.7 | 88,665 | |
| R | 45.7%Biden39,728 | 52.9%Trump45,948 | 1.4% | R+7.2 | D+14.3 | R+11.6 | 86,893 | |
| R | 36.0%Clinton23,159 | 57.5%Trump36,960 | 6.5% | R+21.5 | D+13.4 | R+23.6 | 64,273 | |
| R | 31.7%Obama15,995 | 66.6%Romney33,616 | 1.7% | R+34.9 | R+5.0 | R+38.8 | 50,486 | |
| R | 34.7%Obama15,307 | 64.7%McCain28,495 | 0.6% | R+29.9 | D+20.5 | R+37.2 | 44,063 | |
| R | 24.3%Kerry7,995 | 74.7%Bush24,570 | 0.9% | R+50.4 | — | R+48.0 | 32,870 |
McKinney's rapid in-migration from urban cores has gradually shifted its voter composition, making it a closely watched bellwether within a suburban Dallas county that trended competitive in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 50.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.1 points.
A population of 210,600, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,215 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Frisco and Allen.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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McKinney, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4845744/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.