Little Elm, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −39.1% |
| 2008 | −9.6% |
| 2012 | −17.0% |
| 2016 | −9.6% |
| 2020 | +4.8% |
| 2024 | −0.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 49.0%Harris9,860 | 49.3%Trump9,919 | 1.8% | R+0.3 | R+5.1 | D+1.2 | 20,137 | |
| D | 51.7%Biden9,423 | 46.9%Trump8,548 | 1.4% | D+4.8 | D+14.4 | D+0.4 | 18,222 | |
| R | 42.3%Clinton5,255 | 51.9%Trump6,442 | 5.8% | R+9.6 | D+7.4 | R+11.7 | 12,411 | |
| R | 40.6%Obama3,456 | 57.6%Romney4,903 | 1.7% | R+17.0 | R+7.4 | R+20.9 | 8,507 | |
| R | 44.9%Obama3,399 | 54.5%McCain4,127 | 0.6% | R+9.6 | D+29.5 | R+16.9 | 7,575 | |
| R | 30.2%Kerry1,102 | 69.4%Bush2,529 | 0.4% | R+39.1 | — | R+36.7 | 3,646 |
Little Elm's population has more than doubled since 2010, making voter registration churn and demographic transition more influential than any established partisan baseline in shaping local and county-level results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.8 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 39.1 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 54,820, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $119,219 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Leander and Frisco.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Little Elm, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4843012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.