Jasper, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −15.0% |
| 2008 | −12.5% |
| 2012 | −13.7% |
| 2016 | −21.2% |
| 2020 | −18.8% |
| 2024 | −27.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36.0%Harris838 | 63.4%Trump1,474 | 0.6% | R+27.3 | R+8.5 | R+25.9 | 2,326 | |
| R | 40.1%Biden1,028 | 58.9%Trump1,511 | 1.0% | R+18.8 | D+2.4 | R+23.3 | 2,564 | |
| R | 38.4%Clinton887 | 59.6%Trump1,377 | 2.1% | R+21.2 | R+7.5 | R+23.3 | 2,312 | |
| R | 42.6%Obama1,127 | 56.4%Romney1,490 | 1.0% | R+13.7 | R+1.2 | R+17.6 | 2,644 | |
| R | 43.2%Obama1,096 | 55.7%McCain1,413 | 1.0% | R+12.5 | D+2.5 | R+19.8 | 2,535 | |
| R | 42.0%Kerry1,080 | 57.0%Bush1,467 | 1.0% | R+15.0 | — | R+12.6 | 2,572 |
Jasper sits at the heart of a heavily forested region where African American voters make up a substantial share of the electorate, producing competitive local races in a county that leans Republican in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 27.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.3 points.
A population of 7,299, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,078 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marianna and Roanoke.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Jasper, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4837420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.