Gainesville, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −46.6% |
| 2008 | −43.5% |
| 2012 | −51.7% |
| 2016 | −47.4% |
| 2020 | −43.4% |
| 2024 | −45.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26.8%Harris1,381 | 71.9%Trump3,711 | 1.3% | R+45.2 | R+1.8 | R+43.7 | 5,158 | |
| R | 27.8%Biden1,428 | 71.2%Trump3,652 | 1.0% | R+43.4 | D+4.1 | R+47.8 | 5,130 | |
| R | 24.7%Clinton1,070 | 72.1%Trump3,124 | 3.1% | R+47.4 | D+4.3 | R+49.5 | 4,330 | |
| R | 23.6%Obama1,003 | 75.3%Romney3,199 | 1.1% | R+51.7 | R+8.2 | R+55.5 | 4,248 | |
| R | 27.6%Obama1,361 | 71.1%McCain3,502 | 1.3% | R+43.5 | D+3.2 | R+50.7 | 4,927 | |
| R | 26.4%Kerry1,444 | 73.1%Bush3,994 | 0.5% | R+46.6 | — | R+44.2 | 5,467 |
Gainesville sits at the junction of I-35 and U.S. 82 near the Oklahoma border, giving it a modest regional-hub role. Cooke County has returned Republican presidential margins above 70% in recent cycles, consistent with rural North Texas patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 51.7 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.2 points.
A population of 17,883, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,809 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brownwood and Pampa.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Gainesville, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4827984/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.