Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Gainesville, TX
presidential margin
2008R+58.72012R+67.62016R+67.92020R+65.12024R+66.8
full record · 1912 → 2024
R+66.8
2024
median income$73,932U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age40.5U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate13.5%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)23.7%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english14.9%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German16.3%
English10.5%
Irish10.0%
Mexican18.0%
Salvadoran0.8%
Puerto Rican0.3%
African American†3.0%
religion
other traditions
Mainline3.6%
Black Protestant1.2%
Other Christian0.9%
Latter-day Saints0.8%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Gainesville, TX, Texas

Akashic
Gainesville, TXTrumpR+66.8
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Gainesville, TX, TXA map of the single county of Gainesville, TX, TX, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Cooke County, TX · R+66.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican83.0%16,975
Kamala HarrisDemocratic16.2%3,310
Jill SteinGreen0.8%162
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Gainesville, TX, TX — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Cooke County, TXRepublicanR+66.8
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
16.2%Harris3,310
83.0%Trump16,975
0.8%Stein162
−66.8%
20,447
R
16.9%Biden3,210
82.0%Trump15,596
1.2%Jorgensen219
−65.1%
19,025
R
14.7%Clinton2,352
82.6%Trump13,181
2.6%Johnson422
−67.9%
15,955
R
15.7%Obama2,246
83.3%Romney11,951
1.1%Johnson154
−67.6%
14,351
R
20.3%Obama3,051
79.0%McCain11,871
0.7%Barr110
−58.7%
15,032
R
20.8%Kerry3,142
78.8%Bush11,908
0.4%Badnarik57
−58.0%
15,107
R
23.4%Gore3,153
75.2%Bush10,128
1.4%Nader188
−51.8%
13,469
R
30.8%Clinton3,782
59.5%Dole7,320
9.7%Perot1,195
−28.8%
12,297
R
23.7%Clinton3,105
40.5%Bush5,299
35.8%Perot4,680
−16.8%
13,084
R
36.8%Dukakis4,217
62.8%Bush7,196
0.3%Paul39
−26.0%
11,452
R
28.3%Mondale3,278
71.4%Reagan8,260
0.2%Larouche26
−43.1%
11,564
R
35.6%Carter3,842
62.6%Reagan6,760
1.9%Anderson200
−27.0%
10,802
R
48.1%Carter4,483
51.5%Ford4,804
0.5%McCarthy42
−3.4%
9,329
R
21.1%McGovern1,702
78.3%Nixon6,317
0.6%Schmitz51
−57.2%
8,070
R
34.2%Humphrey2,711
48.0%Nixon3,799
17.8%Wallace1,412
−13.7%
7,922
D
56.6%Johnson4,083
43.2%Goldwater3,117
0.2%Hass11
+13.4%
7,211
R
44.1%Kennedy3,168
55.5%Nixon3,983
0.3%Byrd25
−11.4%
7,176
R
35.1%Stevenson2,272
64.3%Eisenhower4,164
0.6%Andrews37
−29.2%
6,473
R
37.7%Stevenson2,657
62.2%Eisenhower4,385
0.1%Hallinan8
−24.5%
7,050
D
64.5%Truman3,241
23.8%Dewey1,194
11.8%Thurmond591
+40.7%
5,026
D
66.2%Roosevelt3,270
18.6%Dewey919
15.2%Thomas749
+47.6%
4,938
D
76.6%Roosevelt4,483
23.2%Willkie1,358
0.2%Thomas12
+53.4%
5,853
D
83.9%Roosevelt3,686
15.6%Landon686
0.5%Lemke20
+68.3%
4,392
D
88.5%Roosevelt3,775
11.0%Hoover470
0.5%Thomas20
+77.5%
4,265
R
45.9%Smith1,924
54.0%Hoover2,262
0.1%Thomas4
−8.1%
4,190
D
77.6%Davis3,170
12.8%Coolidge525
9.6%La Follette391
+64.7%
4,086
D
64.0%Cox2,170
29.6%Harding1,003
6.3%Debs215
+34.4%
3,388
D
83.1%Wilson2,273
12.9%Hughes353
4.0%Benson109
+70.2%
2,735
D
75.8%Wilson1,780
8.8%Taft206
15.4%Roosevelt361
+67.1%
2,347
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: −66.8% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−66.8%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+67.1%
1916+70.2%
1920+34.4%
1924+64.7%
1928−8.1%
1932+77.5%
1936+68.3%
1940+53.4%
1944+47.6%
1948+40.7%
1952−24.5%
1956−29.2%
1960−11.4%
1964+13.4%
1968−13.7%
1972−57.2%
1976−3.4%
1980−27.0%
1984−43.1%
1988−26.0%
1992−16.8%
1996−28.8%
2000−51.8%
2004−58.0%
2008−58.7%
2012−67.6%
2016−67.9%
2020−65.1%
2024−66.8%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Gainesville, TXTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 30,193 in 2024.7.5K15.1K22.6K30.2K30.2K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Gainesville, TX
YearTotal registered
201625,086
201825,747
202027,268
202228,699
202430,193
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Cooke County anchors this micropolitan area, where Republican margins have held above 70% in recent cycles even as the broader I-35 corridor absorbs spillover migration from the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 67.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.8 points.

A population of 43,046, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,932 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Woodward, OK and Pampa, TX.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Woodward, OK
94.7twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Pampa, TX
94.0twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Brenham, TX
92.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Gainesville, TX

counties1
Cooke County

Frequently asked questions

How did Gainesville, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville, TX, Texas voted Republican by 66.8 points (R+66.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,447 votes cast, 3,310 went Democratic and 16,975 went Republican.
When did Gainesville, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Gainesville, TX, Texas has a population of 43,046 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Gainesville, TX, Texas is $73,932 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Gainesville, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.