HarrisDemocratic16.2%3,310TrumpRepublican83.0%16,975OliverLibertarian0.5%107
R+66.8- Lead
- 13,665
- Total
- 20,447
- vs nation
- R+65.4
Akashicmetro area
Gainesville, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic16.9%3,210TrumpRepublican82.0%15,596OtherAll other candidates1.2%219
R+65.1- Lead
- 12,386
- Total
- 19,025
- vs nation
- R+69.6
ClintonDemocratic14.7%2,352TrumpRepublican82.6%13,181OtherAll other candidates2.6%422
R+67.9- Lead
- 10,829
- Total
- 15,955
- vs nation
- R+70.0
ObamaDemocratic15.7%2,246RomneyRepublican83.3%11,951OtherAll other candidates1.1%154
R+67.6- Lead
- 9,705
- Total
- 14,351
- vs nation
- R+71.5
ObamaDemocratic20.3%3,051McCainRepublican79.0%11,871OtherAll other candidates0.7%110
R+58.7- Lead
- 8,820
- Total
- 15,032
- vs nation
- R+65.9
KerryDemocratic20.8%3,142BushRepublican78.8%11,908OtherAll other candidates0.4%57
R+58.0- Lead
- 8,766
- Total
- 15,107
- vs nation
- R+55.6
GoreDemocratic23.4%3,153BushRepublican75.2%10,128OtherAll other candidates1.4%188
R+51.8- Lead
- 6,975
- Total
- 13,469
- vs nation
- R+52.3
ClintonDemocratic30.8%3,782DoleRepublican59.5%7,320OtherAll other candidates9.7%1,195
R+28.8- Lead
- 3,538
- Total
- 12,297
- vs nation
- R+37.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,0462024 5-year
- Population density
- 49 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 875 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,9322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Woodward, OK · twin score 94.7
presidential history
Party record book
Gainesville, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
88.5%
3,775 votes · D+77.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 83.9%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
83.3%
11,951 votes · R+67.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 83.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
4,483votes
48.1% of the vote · R+3.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 4,483 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,975votes
83.0% of the vote · R+66.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,596 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+89.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+64.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +67.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+71.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.6 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +70.0 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,086 |
| 2018 | 25,747 |
| 2020 | 27,268 |
| 2022 | 28,699 |
| 2024 | 30,193 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+49 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,588 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −178 |
| 2012 | +144 |
| 2013 | −440 |
| 2014 | +142 |
| 2015 | +194 |
| 2016 | −38 |
| 2017 | +416 |
| 2018 | +402 |
| 2019 | +616 |
| 2021 | +687 |
| 2022 | +578 |
| 2023 | +643 |
| 2024 | +373 |
| 2025 | +49 |
Cooke County anchors this micropolitan area, where Republican margins have held above 70% in recent cycles even as the broader I-35 corridor absorbs spillover migration from the Dallas–Fort Worth metroplex.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 67.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.8 points.
A population of 43,046, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,932 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Woodward, OK and Pampa, TX.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Woodward, OK
94.7twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Pampa, TX
94.0twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Brenham, TX
92.9twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Gainesville, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gainesville, TX, Texas voted Republican by 66.8 points (R+66.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,447 votes cast, 3,310 went Democratic and 16,975 went Republican.
When did Gainesville, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Gainesville, TX, Texas has a population of 43,046 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Gainesville, TX, Texas is $73,932 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Gainesville, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Gainesville, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.