Fredericksburg, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −59.9% |
| 2008 | −53.5% |
| 2012 | −63.5% |
| 2016 | −52.5% |
| 2020 | −47.8% |
| 2024 | −49.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 24.9%Harris1,496 | 74.1%Trump4,449 | 1.0% | R+49.2 | R+1.3 | R+47.7 | 6,005 | |
| R | 25.6%Biden1,568 | 73.4%Trump4,499 | 1.0% | R+47.8 | D+4.6 | R+52.3 | 6,126 | |
| R | 21.7%Clinton1,149 | 74.2%Trump3,930 | 4.2% | R+52.5 | D+11.1 | R+54.6 | 5,300 | |
| R | 17.5%Obama937 | 81.0%Romney4,343 | 1.5% | R+63.5 | R+10.0 | R+67.4 | 5,361 | |
| R | 22.8%Obama1,117 | 76.3%McCain3,742 | 0.9% | R+53.5 | D+6.4 | R+60.8 | 4,902 | |
| R | 19.5%Kerry908 | 79.4%Bush3,698 | 1.1% | R+59.9 | — | R+57.5 | 4,657 |
Fredericksburg's Gillespie County roots run deep in Texas Hill Country, and its population—still reflecting 19th-century German settlement patterns—has voted Republican by wide margins in recent statewide cycles, even as tourism growth reshapes its economic base.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 63.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.2 points.
A population of 11,419, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,534 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cody and Sierra Vista Southeast.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Fredericksburg, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4827348/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.