Denton, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −15.8% |
| 2008 | −2.4% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | +0.7% |
| 2020 | +11.2% |
| 2024 | +9.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 53.8%Harris34,790 | 44.4%Trump28,714 | 1.8% | D+9.4 | R+1.8 | D+10.9 | 64,665 | |
| D | 54.8%Biden32,926 | 43.6%Trump26,180 | 1.6% | D+11.2 | D+10.5 | D+6.8 | 60,089 | |
| D | 46.7%Clinton21,751 | 46.0%Trump21,419 | 7.2% | D+0.7 | D+9.7 | R+1.4 | 46,536 | |
| R | 44.6%Obama16,439 | 53.6%Romney19,741 | 1.7% | R+9.0 | R+6.6 | R+12.8 | 36,821 | |
| R | 48.6%Obama18,930 | 50.9%McCain19,864 | 0.5% | R+2.4 | D+13.4 | R+9.7 | 38,989 | |
| R | 41.9%Kerry13,740 | 57.6%Bush18,911 | 0.5% | R+15.8 | — | R+13.3 | 32,815 |
Home to two major universities and a rapidly expanding suburban population, Denton has seen its voter registration composition change faster than most Texas cities its size, making it a reliable bellwether for younger-cohort turnout patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 15.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.4 points.
A population of 152,866, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,019 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Round Rock and Lexington-Fayette urban county.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Denton, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4819972/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.