Belterra, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −30.9% |
| 2008 | −21.2% |
| 2012 | −30.0% |
| 2016 | −16.4% |
| 2020 | −1.7% |
| 2024 | −2.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 48.0%Harris1,771 | 50.6%Trump1,864 | 1.4% | R+2.5 | R+0.8 | R+1.1 | 3,687 | |
| R | 48.5%Biden1,706 | 50.2%Trump1,766 | 1.4% | R+1.7 | D+14.7 | R+6.2 | 3,521 | |
| R | 38.1%Clinton887 | 54.6%Trump1,269 | 7.3% | R+16.4 | D+13.5 | R+18.5 | 2,326 | |
| R | 33.5%Obama487 | 63.4%Romney923 | 3.1% | R+30.0 | R+8.7 | R+33.8 | 1,455 | |
| R | 39.2%Obama622 | 60.4%McCain959 | 0.4% | R+21.2 | D+9.7 | R+28.5 | 1,588 | |
| R | 33.6%Kerry270 | 64.5%Bush518 | 1.9% | R+30.9 | — | R+28.4 | 803 |
Belterra is a planned subdivision turned Census-designated place in Hays County, where rapid in-migration from the Austin metro has made it a bellwether for how suburban growth reshapes voting patterns in once-reliably rural territory.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 30.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.5 points.
A population of 6,978, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $219,727 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cherry Hills Village and Rancho Mission Viejo.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Belterra, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4807486/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.