State House District 45 State House District (TX) — Elections 1876–2024

Texas 45th State House District, Texas: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 123,9752024 5-year
Median household income: $89,0972024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 60.5%2024 5-year
Black: 4.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 39.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+82 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+30 in 1984MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

1 counties · 1 D · 0 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+5.6%	30,241	26,969	58,069
2020	D	+10.8%	27,470	22,004	50,485
2016	R	−0.8%	15,333	15,611	33,303
2012	R	−10.4%	11,785	14,611	27,233
2008	R	−2.0%	13,121	13,678	27,252
2004	R	−14.4%	9,281	12,470	22,070
2000	R	−25.6%	5,255	9,308	15,837
1996	R	−4.8%	5,344	5,937	12,387
1992	D	+3.1%	5,004	4,619	12,584
1988	R	−2.3%	5,163	5,407	10,736
1984	R	−30.2%	3,075	5,753	8,855
1980	R	−3.8%	2,775	3,008	6,133
1976	D	+10.0%	3,233	2,637	5,942
1972	R	−14.1%	1,877	2,495	4,393
1968	D	+25.1%	1,636	920	2,853
1964	D	+49.4%	1,744	590	2,337
1960	D	+28.9%	1,346	741	2,090
1956	D	+3.7%	931	864	1,802
1952	R	−1.5%	955	985	1,942
1948	D	+56.4%	1,033	256	1,378
1944	D	+49.2%	780	228	1,121
1940	D	+67.8%	1,094	209	1,305
1936	D	+74.2%	906	132	1,043
1932	D	+78.1%	841	102	946
1928	R	−27.4%	286	502	788
1924	D	+58.5%	746	182	964
1920	D	+50.3%	496	112	764
1916	D	+76.9%	459	57	523
1912	D	+82.5%	433	28	491
1908	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

13.1%

English

11.1%

Irish

8.8%

American

3.2%

Italian

3.0%

Scottish

2.3%

French

2.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 34.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.3%

85+

0.6%

1.6%

75–84

1.7%

3.7%

65–74

4.2%

4.9%

55–64

5.1%

5.9%

45–54

5.7%

7.6%

35–44

7.4%

7.3%

25–34

6.7%

7.2%

18–24

7.8%

8.5%

5–17

8.2%

3.0%

2.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$89,097

State House District 45 ranks near the middle of US counties.

State House District 45$89,097

Texas$78,476

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

12.1%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 188.8%

Working age (18–64)13.5%

Seniors (65+)7.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

75.3%

speak English only

Spanish21.7%

Other Indo-European1.8%

Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%

Other languages0.3%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

17.1%

Other Christian

12.5%

Baptist

4.7%

Methodist

1.7%

Mainline Protestant

1.5%

Non-Christian

1.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

0.3%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Texas 45th State House District in the Gulf South and Southern Plains has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries Texas 45th State House District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in Texas 45th State House District has rarely exceeded eighty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by six points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $89,097 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

State House District 45, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 45, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, State House District 45, Texas voted Democratic by 5.6 points (D+6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 58,069 votes cast, 30,241 went Democratic and 26,969 went Republican.

What is State House District 45, Texas's political archetype?

Akashic classifies State House District 45, Texas as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.

When did State House District 45, Texas last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which State House District 45, Texas voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in State House District 45, Texas?

State House District 45, Texas has a population of 123,975 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in State House District 45, Texas?

Median household income in State House District 45, Texas is $89,097 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of State House District 45, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 45, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Texas 45th State House District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

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Frequently asked questions