† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupPainesvilleOhioUnited States
German16.6%22.3%12.5%
Irish13.2%12.3%9.4%
Italian10.4%5.8%4.8%
English8.2%11.0%9.5%
Polish4.6%3.2%2.2%
Hungarian2.7%——
American2.5%5.6%5.3%
Scottish1.5%1.5%1.3%
Mexican14.1%2.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican7.8%1.2%1.8%
Guatemalan1.0%0.2%0.5%
African American†7.4%10.5%9.9%
Asian Indian0.7%0.8%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Painesville
Ohio
United States
Median age
34.5
39.8
39.1
Age 18–24
11.7%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.0%
18.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Painesville
Ohio
United States
Median household income
$51,516
$71,389
$84,427
Poverty rate
25.6%
13.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.7%
31.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Painesville
Ohio
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
24.1%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
22.2%
2.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Painesville
Ohio
United States
Catholic
—
15.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
52.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Painesville, Ohio
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+30.2%
2008
+32.6%
2012
+31.3%
2016
+13.6%
2020
+11.8%
2024
+5.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
52.1%Harris3,564
47.0%Trump3,216
1.0%
D+5.1
R+6.7
D+6.6
6,847
D
55.1%Biden3,810
43.3%Trump2,993
1.7%
D+11.8
R+1.8
D+7.4
6,918
D
54.3%Clinton3,517
40.8%Trump2,639
4.9%
D+13.6
R+17.7
D+11.5
6,473
D
64.4%Obama4,068
33.1%Romney2,091
2.5%
D+31.3
R+1.3
D+27.4
6,317
D
65.3%Obama4,373
32.8%McCain2,193
1.9%
D+32.6
D+2.4
D+25.3
6,695
D
65.0%Kerry4,287
34.8%Bush2,294
0.3%
D+30.2
—
D+32.7
6,600
Painesville has shifted toward a majority-Hispanic population over the past two decades, making it an outlier in largely white Lake County and a bellwether for how demographic change translates into electoral participation in Ohio's mid-sized cities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.6 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.1 points.
A population of 20,548, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,516 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lorain and Wilkes-Barre.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Painesville, Ohio voted Democratic by 5.1 points (D+5.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,847 votes cast, 3,564 went Democratic and 3,216 went Republican.
How many people live in Painesville, Ohio?
Painesville, Ohio has a population of 20,548 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Painesville, Ohio?
Median household income in Painesville, Ohio is $51,516 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Painesville, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Painesville, Ohio from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
