Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic16.7%185TrumpRepublican81.9%910OtherAll other candidates1.4%16
R+65.3
Lead
725
Total
1,111
vs nation
R+63.8
BidenDemocratic15.6%168TrumpRepublican83.1%895OtherAll other candidates1.3%14
R+67.5
Lead
727
Total
1,077
vs nation
R+72.0
ClintonDemocratic11.0%107TrumpRepublican81.9%795OtherAll other candidates7.1%69
R+70.9
Lead
688
Total
971
vs nation
R+72.9
ObamaDemocratic14.9%144RomneyRepublican81.8%792OtherAll other candidates3.3%32
R+66.9
Lead
648
Total
968
vs nation
R+70.8
ObamaDemocratic20.8%207McCainRepublican78.3%781OtherAll other candidates0.9%9
R+57.6
Lead
574
Total
997
vs nation
R+64.8
KerryDemocratic16.5%168BushRepublican81.7%832OtherAll other candidates1.8%18
R+65.2
Lead
664
Total
1,018
vs nation
R+62.8
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+65.3MIT Election Lab
Population
2,7702024 5-year
Population density
554 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$44,3522024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
21.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+70.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20247 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
48.6%1,114 participants ÷ 2,294 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+10.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
36.4%–38.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
49.3%
41.9%
2008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,114
2,294 ± 589
48.6%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
827
1,976 ± 465
41.9%
Audited
E/D
1,082
2,084 ± 474
51.9%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
791
1,605 ± 220
49.3%
Audited
E/D
979
1,539 ± 209
63.6%
Audited
E/D
968
1,871
51.7%
Derived
—
997
1,368
72.9%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Flora Vista, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
20.8%
207 votes · R+57.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 16.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2020
83.1%
895 votes · R+67.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 81.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
207votes
20.8% of the vote · R+57.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 185 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
910votes
81.9% of the vote · R+65.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 895 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−62.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+65.2 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −63.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+72.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+70.9 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +72.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Flora Vista · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are San Juan County, New Mexico, the county containing Flora Vista — Flora Vista’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Flora Vista, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Flora Vista sits in the agricultural Animas River valley near Aztec, with a population that reflects San Juan County's broader mix of Anglo and Hispanic residents and a history tied to farming and energy extraction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 70.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.3 points.
A population of 2,770, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,352 describe the city.
In 2024, Flora Vista, New Mexico voted Republican by 65.3 points (R+65.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,111 votes cast, 185 went Democratic and 910 went Republican.
How many people live in Flora Vista, New Mexico?
Flora Vista, New Mexico has a population of 2,770 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flora Vista, New Mexico?
Median household income in Flora Vista, New Mexico is $44,352 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Flora Vista, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Flora Vista, New Mexico from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
