- Lead
- 2,043
- Total
- 17,539
- vs nation
- D+13.1
New Mexico 4th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,112
- Total
- 18,097
- vs nation
- D+18.3
- Lead
- 3,725
- Total
- 15,555
- vs nation
- D+21.9
- Lead
- 5,451
- Total
- 15,653
- vs nation
- D+31.0
- Lead
- 6,014
- Total
- 16,885
- vs nation
- D+28.3
- Lead
- 2,579
- Total
- 14,890
- vs nation
- D+19.8
- Lead
- 2,994
- Total
- 12,239
- vs nation
- D+23.9
- Lead
- 3,560
- Total
- 11,894
- vs nation
- D+21.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 48,2352024 5-year
- Population density
- 12 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,935 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $46,5312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 14.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 3, NM · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.9%
3,285 votes · D+40.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 67.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
63.0%
896 votes · R+26.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 59.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
11,349votes
67.2% of the vote · D+35.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 10,860 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,480votes
42.6% of the vote · D+11.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,748 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+31.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +28.3 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+16.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+2.7 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +8.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.7%10,135 | 40.3%6,845 | 16,980 |
New Mexico 4th State Senate District sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 26.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 48,235, a 14% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,531 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 3 and State Senate District 22.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/35004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.