akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 4·New Mexico

New Mexico 4th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NM
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
49,262
2024 ACS

New Mexico 4th State Senate District, New Mexico: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+29 in 1980.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
49,2622024 5-year
Median household income
$51,5972024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
25.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
18.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1980MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
3 counties · 2 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.9%
8,9019,85419,254
D
+3.7%
9,7709,06019,304
D
+0.5%
7,2837,20116,608
D
+8.4%
8,8267,42016,752
D
+12.3%
9,6767,53917,436
R
−4.3%
7,5188,20815,929
D
+2.7%
6,2975,95312,678
D
+10.6%
6,2374,95212,155
D
+12.1%
5,6814,27711,587
D
+4.7%
5,7395,21511,095
R
−12.5%
4,7926,17911,071
R
−28.7%
2,5464,7607,725
D
+4.1%
3,4463,1746,691
R
−20.0%
2,2133,3805,830
R
−11.2%
1,9862,5655,175
D
+22.1%
3,1732,0115,250
D
+0.5%
2,5332,5085,099
R
−22.2%
1,3772,1693,567
R
−13.6%
1,1791,5502,738
D
+5.1%
1,1301,0192,165
D
+8.8%
8266921,521
D
+10.5%
9777911,770
D
+21.7%
9926351,642
D
+21.1%
8635551,458
R
−27.1%
4848451,334
R
−12.4%
4726301,271
R
−17.3%
4276091,049
D
+1.5%
267259536
D
+9.4%
148111393
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
4.9%
English
4.0%
Irish
3.9%
American
1.6%
Scottish
1.1%
French
0.8%
Italian
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
1.0%
1.9%
75–84
2.6%
4.6%
65–74
5.3%
5.7%
55–64
6.3%
5.7%
45–54
5.7%
6.5%
35–44
6.4%
6.8%
25–34
6.9%
4.4%
18–24
4.2%
9.8%
5–17
10.1%
2.8%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$51,597
State Senate District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 4$51,597
New Mexico$64,059
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
28.2%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1837.2%
Working age (18–64)25.5%
Seniors (65+)21.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.6%
speak English only
Other languages29.4%
Spanish7.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.3%
Other Christian
13.5%
Baptist
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New Mexico 4th State Senate District in the desert Southwest has, for decades, voted very close to the way the country has voted. Its margins are typically narrow, and the candidate who carries New Mexico 4th State Senate District more often than not also wins the national popular vote.

The Democratic margin in New Mexico 4th State Senate District has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 26% non-Hispanic-white share, a 28% poverty rate, and a median household income of $51,597 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 4, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/35004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 4, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 4, New Mexico voted Republican by 4.9 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,254 votes cast, 8,901 went Democratic and 9,854 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 4, New Mexico's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 4, New Mexico as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 11 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 4, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 4, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 4, New Mexico?
State Senate District 4, New Mexico has a population of 49,262 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 4, New Mexico?
Median household income in State Senate District 4, New Mexico is $51,597 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of State Senate District 4, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 4, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.