- Lead
- 421
- Total
- 10,712
- vs nation
- D+5.4
New Mexico 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,605
- Total
- 10,793
- vs nation
- D+10.4
- Lead
- 709
- Total
- 9,032
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Lead
- 1,591
- Total
- 9,118
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Lead
- 2,424
- Total
- 9,565
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Lead
- 1,214
- Total
- 8,698
- vs nation
- D+16.4
- Lead
- 1,197
- Total
- 6,869
- vs nation
- D+16.9
- Lead
- 1,697
- Total
- 6,822
- vs nation
- D+16.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,1682024 5-year
- Population density
- 18 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,525 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,1792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.0 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 9, NM · twin score 90.8
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
80.8%
240 votes · D+67.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 77.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
46.5%
4,977 votes · D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 44.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,052votes
56.1% of the vote · D+14.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 5,909 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,977votes
46.5% of the vote · D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,447 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+79.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+52.9 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +71.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
−5.4pts R vs U.S.
Place D+3.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · −5.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of just under four points, this district sits at the competitive edge of New Mexico's political map, where rural land-use concerns and Hispanic heritage communities shape voter behavior in ways that resist easy categorization.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.0 points in 1916. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.9 points.
A population of 28,168, a 11% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,179 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 9 and State House District 6.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.