- Lead
- 11,756
- Total
- 22,192
- vs nation
- R+51.5
New Mexico 2nd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,872
- Total
- 21,728
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Lead
- 11,059
- Total
- 19,203
- vs nation
- R+59.7
- Lead
- 10,741
- Total
- 19,256
- vs nation
- R+59.6
- Lead
- 9,795
- Total
- 18,848
- vs nation
- R+59.2
- Lead
- 11,399
- Total
- 18,961
- vs nation
- R+57.7
- Lead
- 7,898
- Total
- 14,368
- vs nation
- R+55.5
- Lead
- 5,803
- Total
- 13,028
- vs nation
- R+53.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,3182024 5-year
- Population density
- 56 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 844 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,4922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.5 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 1, NM · twin score 93.0
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 2nd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
37.6%
338 votes · R+17.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 37.6%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
85.3%
2,038 votes · R+70.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 83.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
5,029votes
22.7% of the vote · R+53.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 4,700 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,785votes
75.6% of the vote · R+53.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,572 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
−15.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+40.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · −21.8 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+62.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.4 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +62.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.5%6,711 | 66.5%13,318 | 20,029 |
Anchored in the rural high-desert counties of northwestern New Mexico, this district delivered a 53.0-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a largely rural, Native American and Hispanic electorate that has trended sharply toward the GOP in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 70.5 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.0 points.
A population of 47,318, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,492 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 1 and State Senate District 24.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/35002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.