Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic23.2%513TrumpRepublican75.0%1,659OtherAll other candidates1.8%40
R+51.8
Lead
1,146
Total
2,212
vs nation
R+50.3
BidenDemocratic24.2%506TrumpRepublican73.5%1,535OtherAll other candidates2.3%47
R+49.3
Lead
1,029
Total
2,088
vs nation
R+53.7
ClintonDemocratic17.7%313TrumpRepublican71.8%1,273OtherAll other candidates10.5%186
R+54.2
Lead
960
Total
1,772
vs nation
R+56.3
ObamaDemocratic23.4%390RomneyRepublican73.4%1,225OtherAll other candidates3.3%55
R+50.0
Lead
835
Total
1,670
vs nation
R+53.9
ObamaDemocratic28.2%460McCainRepublican71.0%1,160OtherAll other candidates0.9%14
R+42.8
Lead
700
Total
1,634
vs nation
R+50.1
KerryDemocratic22.9%375BushRepublican75.5%1,239OtherAll other candidates1.6%26
R+52.7
Lead
864
Total
1,640
vs nation
R+50.2
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+51.8MIT Election Lab
Population
4,8122024 5-year
Population density
232 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
20.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$63,7502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
34.1%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+54.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
78.9%2,220 participants ÷ 2,814 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+12.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
66.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
54.6%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,220
2,814 ± 434
78.9%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,602
2,935 ± 365
54.6%
Audited
E/D
2,098
3,153 ± 411
66.5%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Crouch Mesa, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
28.2%
460 votes · R+42.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 24.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
75.5%
1,239 votes · R+52.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 75.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
513votes
23.2% of the vote · R+51.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 506 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,659votes
75.0% of the vote · R+51.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,535 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−50.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+42.8 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −50.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+56.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.2 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +53.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Crouch Mesa · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are San Juan County, New Mexico, the county containing Crouch Mesa — Crouch Mesa’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Crouch Mesa, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Crouch Mesa sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 54.2 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.8 points.
A population of 4,812, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,750 describe the city.
In 2024, Crouch Mesa, New Mexico voted Republican by 51.8 points (R+51.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,212 votes cast, 513 went Democratic and 1,659 went Republican.
How many people live in Crouch Mesa, New Mexico?
Crouch Mesa, New Mexico has a population of 4,812 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Crouch Mesa, New Mexico?
Median household income in Crouch Mesa, New Mexico is $63,750 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Crouch Mesa, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Crouch Mesa, New Mexico from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
