HarrisDemocratic43.9%2,945TrumpRepublican53.6%3,594OtherAll other candidates2.5%169
R+9.7- Lead
- 649
- Total
- 6,708
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Middlesex, NJ
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic48.4%3,460TrumpRepublican50.5%3,608OtherAll other candidates1.1%78
R+2.1- Lead
- 148
- Total
- 7,146
- vs nation
- R+6.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.8%2,734TrumpRepublican52.7%3,289OtherAll other candidates3.4%215
R+8.9- Lead
- 555
- Total
- 6,238
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic50.5%2,899RomneyRepublican48.2%2,770OtherAll other candidates1.3%76
D+2.2- Lead
- 129
- Total
- 5,745
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.4%2,827McCainRepublican52.1%3,177OtherAll other candidates1.5%89
R+5.7- Lead
- 350
- Total
- 6,093
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.2%2,427BushRepublican56.4%3,245OtherAll other candidates1.4%80
R+14.2- Lead
- 818
- Total
- 5,752
- vs nation
- R+11.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,6452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $105,0002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+14.2 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- South Plainfield, NJ · twin score 85.2
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −14.2% |
| 2008 | −5.7% |
| 2012 | +2.2% |
| 2016 | −8.9% |
| 2020 | −2.1% |
| 2024 | −9.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 43.9%Harris2,945 | 53.6%Trump3,594 | 2.5% | R+9.7 | — | R+8.2 | 6,708 | |
| R | 48.4%Biden3,460 | 50.5%Trump3,608 | 1.1% | R+2.1 | — | R+6.5 | 7,146 | |
| R | 43.8%Clinton2,734 | 52.7%Trump3,289 | 3.4% | R+8.9 | R+11.1 | R+11.0 | 6,238 | |
| D | 50.5%Obama2,899 | 48.2%Romney2,770 | 1.3% | D+2.2 | D+8.0 | R+1.6 | 5,745 | |
| R | 46.4%Obama2,827 | 52.1%McCain3,177 | 1.5% | R+5.7 | — | R+13.0 | 6,093 | |
| R | 42.2%Kerry2,427 | 56.4%Bush3,245 | 1.4% | R+14.2 | — | R+11.8 | 5,752 |
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.2%3,142 | 52.8%3,510 | 6,652 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | O | 0.0%0 | 0.0%0 | 6,250 |
Middlesex Borough sits in central New Jersey's Somerset County, a historically Republican-leaning collar area now trending competitive. Its working-class, ethnically diverse population of roughly 14,600 makes it a useful bellwether for nearby mid-density suburbs.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.2 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 14.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.7 points.
A population of 14,645, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,000 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of South Plainfield and Old Bridge.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
South Plainfield
New Jersey
85.2twin score
college shareAsian Indian ancestry12-yr trend
Old Bridge
New Jersey
82.7twin score
college shareAsian Indian ancestryItalian ancestry≠ elasticity
Raritan
New Jersey
82.4twin score
Asian Indian ancestry2008 marginmedian income≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Middlesex, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3445900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New Jersey at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Middlesex, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Middlesex, New Jersey voted Republican by 9.7 points (R+9.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,708 votes cast, 2,945 went Democratic and 3,594 went Republican.
When did Middlesex, New Jersey last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Middlesex, New Jersey voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Middlesex, New Jersey?
Middlesex, New Jersey has a population of 14,645 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Middlesex, New Jersey?
Median household income in Middlesex, New Jersey is $105,000 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Middlesex, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Middlesex, New Jersey from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.