- Lead
- 4,442
- Total
- 91,995
- vs nation
- D+6.3
New Jersey 19th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,903
- Total
- 94,367
- vs nation
- D+14.5
- Lead
- 18,310
- Total
- 83,854
- vs nation
- D+19.7
- Lead
- 21,713
- Total
- 77,094
- vs nation
- D+24.3
- Lead
- 18,324
- Total
- 82,362
- vs nation
- D+15.0
- Lead
- 10,649
- Total
- 75,604
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Lead
- 16,021
- Total
- 66,125
- vs nation
- D+23.7
- Lead
- 16,369
- Total
- 65,544
- vs nation
- D+16.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 239,1572024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,812 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 49.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $94,2062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 36.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 36, NJ · twin score 95.0
presidential history
Party record book
New Jersey 19th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.4%
38,896 votes · D+41.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 65.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
70.4%
7,489 votes · R+42.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 62.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
55,570votes
58.9% of the vote · D+19.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 49,875 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
42,669votes
46.4% of the vote · D+4.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 40,954 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+24.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +23.7 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+16.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.2 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +14.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.4%53,942 | 41.6%38,480 | 92,422 |
| 2020 | D | 62.8%62,311 | 37.2%36,927 | 99,238 |
New Jersey's 19th Senate district sits in a competitive suburban band where presidential margins have tightened and loosened over recent cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for how outer-suburban voters respond to statewide candidates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 42.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 14.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.8 points.
A population of 239,157, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,206 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 36 and State Senate District 15.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Jersey 19th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/34019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.