- Lead
- 2,917
- Total
- 92,475
- vs nation
- D+4.6
New York 15th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 28,587
- Total
- 102,574
- vs nation
- D+23.4
- Lead
- 34,672
- Total
- 89,847
- vs nation
- D+36.5
- Lead
- 34,665
- Total
- 77,405
- vs nation
- D+40.9
- Lead
- 29,283
- Total
- 84,694
- vs nation
- D+27.3
- Lead
- 21,828
- Total
- 81,486
- vs nation
- D+29.2
- Lead
- 27,696
- Total
- 72,874
- vs nation
- D+37.5
- Lead
- 24,984
- Total
- 67,239
- vs nation
- D+28.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 319,4562024 5-year
- Population density
- 30,717 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 10.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $90,1502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 27.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 12, NY · twin score 96.1
presidential history
Party record book
New York 15th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
71.6%
55,448 votes · D+44.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 67.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
75.2%
16,564 votes · R+56.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 69.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
65,148votes
63.5% of the vote · D+27.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 63,787 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
82,884votes
69.0% of the vote · R+38.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 79,275 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+40.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +37.5 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+44.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.9 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +38.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.4%59,326 | 32.6%28,743 | 88,069 |
New York 15th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.8 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 56.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 24.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.2 points.
A population of 319,456, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,150 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 12 and State Senate District 11.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.