† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBolivarMissouriUnited States
English18.1%11.9%9.5%
German16.7%21.3%12.5%
Irish9.6%11.8%9.4%
American9.3%6.8%5.3%
Scottish2.1%1.8%1.3%
French1.7%2.2%1.6%
Italian1.4%3.2%4.8%
Scotch-Irish1.3%——
Mexican1.7%3.2%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.8%0.4%1.8%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Spaniard0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Bolivar
Missouri
United States
Median age
34.1
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
19.0%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.3%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Bolivar
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$49,622
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
18.8%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.9%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Bolivar
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.3%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.3%
2.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Bolivar
Missouri
United States
Catholic
—
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
51.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Bolivar, Missouri
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−46.0%
2008
−39.4%
2012
−49.7%
2016
−56.9%
2020
−57.5%
2024
−59.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
19.6%Harris561
78.9%Trump2,253
1.4%
R+59.3
R+1.7
R+57.8
2,855
R
20.0%Biden915
77.5%Trump3,552
2.5%
R+57.5
R+0.6
R+62.0
4,583
R
18.7%Clinton801
75.6%Trump3,239
5.7%
R+56.9
R+7.3
R+59.0
4,283
R
24.1%Obama955
73.7%Romney2,926
2.2%
R+49.7
R+10.3
R+53.5
3,968
R
29.5%Obama1,140
68.9%McCain2,662
1.7%
R+39.4
D+6.7
R+46.6
3,866
R
26.8%Kerry933
72.8%Bush2,535
0.3%
R+46.0
—
R+43.6
3,480
Bolivar is home to Southwest Baptist University and Hedrick Medical Center, giving this small Ozarks city an institutional footprint that punches above its 11,000-person weight in local workforce and voter composition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 59.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.3 points.
A population of 11,170, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,622 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Branson and Mabank.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Bolivar, Missouri voted Republican by 59.3 points (R+59.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,855 votes cast, 561 went Democratic and 2,253 went Republican.
How many people live in Bolivar, Missouri?
Bolivar, Missouri has a population of 11,170 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bolivar, Missouri?
Median household income in Bolivar, Missouri is $49,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Bolivar, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Bolivar, Missouri from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
