HarrisDemocratic48.8%22,388TrumpRepublican48.6%22,296OtherAll other candidates2.5%1,159
D+0.2- Lead
- 92
- Total
- 45,843
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Rochester Hills, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic51.0%23,174TrumpRepublican47.7%21,680OtherAll other candidates1.2%564
D+3.3- Lead
- 1,494
- Total
- 45,418
- vs nation
- R+1.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.8%17,713TrumpRepublican50.5%19,932OtherAll other candidates4.7%1,850
R+5.6- Lead
- 2,219
- Total
- 39,495
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.8%17,955RomneyRepublican53.9%21,613OtherAll other candidates1.2%494
R+9.1- Lead
- 3,658
- Total
- 40,062
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.0%18,874McCainRepublican50.5%19,877OtherAll other candidates1.5%575
R+2.6- Lead
- 1,003
- Total
- 39,326
- vs nation
- R+9.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.4%16,180BushRepublican58.2%22,737OtherAll other candidates0.3%131
R+16.8- Lead
- 6,557
- Total
- 39,048
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 77,0892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $120,6942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+3.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Troy, MI · twin score 95.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −16.8% |
| 2008 | −2.6% |
| 2012 | −9.1% |
| 2016 | −5.6% |
| 2020 | +3.3% |
| 2024 | +0.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 48.8%Harris22,388 | 48.6%Trump22,296 | 2.5% | D+0.2 | R+3.1 | D+1.7 | 45,843 | |
| D | 51.0%Biden23,174 | 47.7%Trump21,680 | 1.2% | D+3.3 | D+8.9 | R+1.2 | 45,418 | |
| R | 44.8%Clinton17,713 | 50.5%Trump19,932 | 4.7% | R+5.6 | D+3.5 | R+7.7 | 39,495 | |
| R | 44.8%Obama17,955 | 53.9%Romney21,613 | 1.2% | R+9.1 | R+6.6 | R+13.0 | 40,062 | |
| R | 48.0%Obama18,874 | 50.5%McCain19,877 | 1.5% | R+2.6 | — | R+9.8 | 39,326 | |
| R | 41.4%Kerry16,180 | 58.2%Bush22,737 | 0.3% | R+16.8 | — | R+14.3 | 39,048 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.0%20,917 | 52.0%22,641 | 43,558 |
| 2020 | D | 52.8%23,259 | 47.2%20,833 | 44,092 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 49.7%22,136 | 50.3%22,400 | 44,536 |
Rochester Hills sits in the collar counties around Detroit where college-educated suburban voters have reordered competitive margins over consecutive election cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for broader Oakland County trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 16.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 77,089, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $120,694 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Troy and Novi.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Troy
Michigan
95.8twin score
population scalecollege share12-yr trend≠ Asian Indian ancestry
Novi
Michigan
90.5twin score
population scalecollege share12-yr trend≠ Asian Indian ancestry
Plano
Texas
83.8twin score
college sharemedian income12-yr trend≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rochester Hills, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2669035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Rochester Hills, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rochester Hills, Michigan voted a near-tie (D+0.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 45,843 votes cast, 22,388 went Democratic and 22,296 went Republican.
When did Rochester Hills, Michigan last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Rochester Hills, Michigan voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Rochester Hills, Michigan?
Rochester Hills, Michigan has a population of 77,089 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rochester Hills, Michigan?
Median household income in Rochester Hills, Michigan is $120,694 — above the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Rochester Hills, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Rochester Hills, Michigan from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.