- Lead
- 561
- Total
- 56,875
- vs nation
- D+0.5
Michigan 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,095
- Total
- 56,397
- vs nation
- R+2.5
- Lead
- 3,527
- Total
- 48,391
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Lead
- 3,835
- Total
- 47,232
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 683
- Total
- 47,140
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Lead
- 7,294
- Total
- 47,063
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Lead
- 6,067
- Total
- 41,831
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 3,826
- Total
- 36,866
- vs nation
- R+18.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,9492024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,410 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 65.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $118,3352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+7.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.8 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 55, MI · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
53.4%
11,216 votes · D+7.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 50.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
86.2%
3,867 votes · R+73.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 83.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
28,308votes
50.2% of the vote · D+1.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 27,503 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,064votes
49.3% of the vote · R+1.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 27,213 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+0.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −2.5 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+55.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.0 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +49.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.4%29,382 | 44.6%23,686 | 53,068 |
| 2020 | D | 57.5%30,832 | 42.5%22,785 | 53,617 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+1.0 across roughly 93,000 residents, this district sits at Michigan's competitive edge, where small shifts in turnout or candidate quality can determine the outcome.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 7.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.0 points.
A population of 92,949, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,335 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 55 and State House District 49.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Michigan 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.