Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic43.1%806TrumpRepublican54.9%1,028OtherAll other candidates2.0%37
R+11.9
Lead
222
Total
1,871
vs nation
R+10.4
BidenDemocratic44.5%796TrumpRepublican53.9%964OtherAll other candidates1.5%27
R+9.4
Lead
168
Total
1,787
vs nation
R+13.9
ClintonDemocratic35.3%618TrumpRepublican57.7%1,011OtherAll other candidates7.0%123
R+22.4
Lead
393
Total
1,752
vs nation
R+24.5
ObamaDemocratic38.1%552RomneyRepublican59.2%856OtherAll other candidates2.7%39
R+21.0
Lead
304
Total
1,447
vs nation
R+24.9
ObamaDemocratic40.9%613McCainRepublican57.1%855OtherAll other candidates1.9%29
R+16.2
Lead
242
Total
1,497
vs nation
R+23.4
KerryDemocratic31.9%447BushRepublican66.5%931OtherAll other candidates1.6%22
R+34.6
Lead
484
Total
1,400
vs nation
R+32.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+11.9MIT Election Lab
Population
3,3142024 5-year
Population density
1,184 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.8 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$150,8542024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
81.2%2024 5-year
Black
6.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.7%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+34.6 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2018–20244 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
72.8%1,885 participants ÷ 2,591 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+30.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
42.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
94.1%
63.1%
2018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,885
2,591 ± 381
72.8%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,338
2,121 ± 259
63.1%
Audited
E/D
1,824
1,957 ± 235
93.2%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,519
1,615 ± 170
94.1%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
presidential history
Party record book
Jefferson, MD · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
44.5%
796 votes · R+9.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 43.1%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
66.5%
931 votes · R+34.6
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 59.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
806votes
43.1% of the vote · R+11.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 796 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,028votes
54.9% of the vote · R+11.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 1,011 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−10.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+11.9 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −13.9 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+32.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.6 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +24.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Jefferson · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Frederick County, Maryland, the county containing Jefferson — Jefferson’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Jefferson, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Jefferson sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 34.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.9 points.
A population of 3,314, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $150,854 describe the city.
In 2024, Jefferson, Maryland voted Republican by 11.9 points (R+11.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,871 votes cast, 806 went Democratic and 1,028 went Republican.
How many people live in Jefferson, Maryland?
Jefferson, Maryland has a population of 3,314 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jefferson, Maryland?
Median household income in Jefferson, Maryland is $150,854 — above the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of Jefferson, Maryland?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Jefferson, Maryland from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
