Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic32.1%806TrumpRepublican67.3%1,688OtherAll other candidates0.6%14
R+35.2
Lead
882
Total
2,508
vs nation
R+33.7
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic34.0%901TrumpRepublican65.6%1,739OtherAll other candidates0.5%12
R+31.6
Lead
838
Total
2,652
vs nation
R+36.1
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic33.4%826TrumpRepublican63.7%1,576OtherAll other candidates2.9%72
R+30.3
Lead
750
Total
2,474
vs nation
R+32.4
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic42.7%993RomneyRepublican56.4%1,313OtherAll other candidates0.9%21
R+13.8
Lead
320
Total
2,327
vs nation
R+17.6
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic46.2%1,208McCainRepublican52.4%1,368OtherAll other candidates1.4%36
R+6.1
Lead
160
Total
2,612
vs nation
R+13.4
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic42.4%1,048BushRepublican56.1%1,385OtherAll other candidates1.5%38
R+13.6
Lead
337
Total
2,471
vs nation
R+11.2
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+35.2MIT Election Lab
Population
4,4702024 5-year
Median household income
$53,6682024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
92.1%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+35.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−13.6%
2008
−6.1%
2012
−13.8%
2016
−30.3%
2020
−31.6%
2024
−35.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
32.1%Harris806
67.3%Trump1,688
0.6%
R+35.2
R+3.6
R+33.7
2,508
R
34.0%Biden901
65.6%Trump1,739
0.5%
R+31.6
R+1.3
R+36.1
2,652
R
33.4%Clinton826
63.7%Trump1,576
2.9%
R+30.3
R+16.6
R+32.4
2,474
R
42.7%Obama993
56.4%Romney1,313
0.9%
R+13.8
R+7.6
R+17.6
2,327
R
46.2%Obama1,208
52.4%McCain1,368
1.4%
R+6.1
—
R+13.4
2,612
R
42.4%Kerry1,048
56.1%Bush1,385
1.5%
R+13.6
—
R+11.2
2,471
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
32.2%796
66.9%1,653
2,472
Warm Mineral Springs is a census-designated place in Sarasota County with a heavily retirement-age population, a demographic profile that tends to drive above-average turnout rates relative to its modest size.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 35.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.2 points.
A population of 4,470, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,668 describe the city.
How did Warm Mineral Springs, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warm Mineral Springs, Florida voted Republican by 35.2 points (R+35.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,508 votes cast, 806 went Democratic and 1,688 went Republican.
How many people live in Warm Mineral Springs, Florida?
Warm Mineral Springs, Florida has a population of 4,470 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warm Mineral Springs, Florida?
Median household income in Warm Mineral Springs, Florida is $53,668 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Warm Mineral Springs, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Warm Mineral Springs, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.