Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL
presidential margin
2008R+3.02012R+9.62016R+14.02020R+12.92024R+20.6
full record · 18922024
R+20.6
2024
median income$81,019U.S. $80,734 · FL $74,568
median age53.6U.S. 39.1 · FL 43.1
poverty rate9.2%U.S. 12.5% · FL 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)38.2%U.S. 35.6% · FL 34.2%
non-english17.2%U.S. 22.3% · FL 30.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German15.0%
English12.4%
Irish12.1%
Mexican5.1%
Puerto Rican2.3%
Cuban2.2%
African American4.3%
Haitian0.7%
Jamaican0.3%
Vietnamese0.5%
Chinese0.5%
Asian Indian0.4%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.0%
Other Christian1.2%
Black Protestant0.8%
Latter-day Saints0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida

Akashic
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FLTrumpR+20.6
2024 presidential margin by county for North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, FLA map of the constituent counties of North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, FL, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Manatee County, FL · R+23.5Sarasota County, FL · R+18.2
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican59.9%303,705
Kamala HarrisDemocratic39.3%199,342
Jill SteinGreen0.7%3,679
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, FL — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Manatee County, FLRepublicanR+23.5
Sarasota County, FLRepublicanR+18.2
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
39.3%Harris199,342
59.9%Trump303,705
0.7%Stein3,679
−20.6%
506,726
R
43.1%Biden210,276
56.1%Trump273,357
0.8%Jorgensen3,900
−12.9%
487,533
R
41.4%Clinton169,094
55.5%Trump226,382
3.1%Johnson12,545
−14.0%
408,021
R
44.8%Obama161,622
54.3%Romney196,131
0.9%Johnson3,218
−9.6%
360,971
R
48.1%Obama172,720
51.1%McCain183,618
0.8%Nader3,009
−3.0%
359,347
R
44.1%Kerry149,704
54.8%Bush186,010
1.0%Nader3,559
−10.7%
339,273
R
45.0%Gore122,095
52.0%Bush141,140
3.0%Nader8,086
−7.0%
271,321
R
42.9%Clinton105,556
46.1%Dole113,349
11.0%Perot26,959
−3.2%
245,864
R
34.5%Clinton88,393
42.7%Bush109,580
22.8%Perot58,599
−8.3%
256,572
R
33.4%Dukakis68,723
66.1%Bush135,789
0.5%Paul1,010
−32.6%
205,522
R
26.4%Mondale51,414
73.6%Reagan143,564
0.0%Other75
−47.2%
195,053
R
28.7%Carter47,300
65.9%Reagan108,600
5.4%Anderson8,941
−37.2%
164,841
R
40.2%Carter50,635
58.4%Ford73,457
1.4%McCarthy1,746
−18.1%
125,838
R
19.9%McGovern20,293
79.9%Nixon81,603
0.2%Schmitz254
−60.0%
102,150
R
22.4%Humphrey18,413
59.0%Nixon48,407
18.6%Wallace15,255
−36.5%
82,075
R
40.9%Johnson27,011
59.1%Goldwater39,064
0.0%
−18.2%
66,075
R
31.9%Kennedy17,101
68.1%Nixon36,457
0.0%
−36.1%
53,558
R
28.8%Stevenson10,446
71.2%Eisenhower25,841
0.0%
−42.4%
36,287
R
31.4%Stevenson8,528
68.6%Eisenhower18,593
0.0%
−37.1%
27,121
R
34.4%Truman5,068
47.0%Dewey6,930
18.6%Thurmond2,737
−12.6%
14,735
D
64.9%Roosevelt7,987
35.1%Dewey4,327
0.0%
+29.7%
12,314
D
70.9%Roosevelt8,904
29.1%Willkie3,655
0.0%
+41.8%
12,559
D
70.2%Roosevelt5,905
29.8%Landon2,510
0.0%
+40.3%
8,415
D
71.2%Roosevelt4,806
28.8%Hoover1,947
0.0%
+42.3%
6,753
R
37.5%Smith2,653
60.9%Hoover4,308
1.6%Thomas113
−23.4%
7,074
D
52.9%Davis1,268
34.1%Coolidge816
13.0%La Follette311
+18.9%
2,395
D
62.4%Cox1,790
30.8%Harding884
6.7%Debs193
+31.6%
2,867
D
66.7%Wilson1,033
18.7%Hughes289
14.6%Benson226
+48.1%
1,548
D
68.7%Wilson712
5.3%Taft55
26.0%Roosevelt269
+63.4%
1,036
D
70.8%Bryan644
10.2%Taft93
18.9%Debs172
+60.6%
909
D
69.2%Parker592
10.6%Roosevelt91
20.1%Debs172
+58.6%
855
D
77.8%Bryan535
8.7%McKinley60
13.5%Woolley93
+69.0%
688
D
75.6%Bryan480
21.3%McKinley135
3.1%Palmer20
+54.3%
635
D
83.3%Cleveland348
0.0%Harrison0
16.7%Weaver70
+83.3%
418
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −20.6% in 2024.flipped R · 1948−20.6%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+83.3%
1896+54.3%
1900+69.0%
1904+58.6%
1908+60.6%
1912+63.4%
1916+48.1%
1920+31.6%
1924+18.9%
1928−23.4%
1932+42.3%
1936+40.3%
1940+41.8%
1944+29.7%
1948−12.6%
1952−37.1%
1956−42.4%
1960−36.1%
1964−18.2%
1968−36.5%
1972−60.0%
1976−18.1%
1980−37.2%
1984−47.2%
1988−32.6%
1992−8.3%
1996−3.2%
2000−7.0%
2004−10.7%
2008−3.0%
2012−9.6%
2016−14.0%
2020−12.9%
2024−20.6%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FLRegistered voters by party of registration, 2017–2024. Latest total 626,320 in 2024.156.6K313.2K469.7K626.3K626.3K20172024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2017544,825165,864234,129142,1422,690
2018568,081173,636243,143146,7214,581
2019571,658174,904243,912146,7286,114
2020615,859189,283264,873152,2719,432
2021620,358184,259267,509157,21411,376
2023585,912158,199271,390142,45913,864
2024626,320159,912298,892148,85818,658
Source: Florida Division of Elections

Sarasota and Manatee counties have absorbed decades of Midwestern and Northeastern retirees, producing an older, college-educated electorate that swings presidential margins but anchors Republican lean in down-ballot races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 60.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.6 points.

A population of 889,339, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,019 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL and Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/35840/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL

Frequently asked questions

How did North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida voted Republican by 20.6 points (R+20.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 506,726 votes cast, 199,342 went Democratic and 303,705 went Republican.
When did North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1944.
How many people live in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida?
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida has a population of 889,339 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida?
Median household income in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida is $81,019 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.