Palmer Ranch, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −18.5% |
| 2008 | −10.2% |
| 2012 | −15.1% |
| 2016 | −9.4% |
| 2020 | −4.7% |
| 2024 | −10.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44.2%Harris4,964 | 54.6%Trump6,134 | 1.1% | R+10.4 | R+5.8 | R+8.9 | 11,227 | |
| R | 47.2%Biden5,035 | 51.8%Trump5,532 | 1.0% | R+4.7 | D+4.7 | R+9.1 | 10,672 | |
| R | 43.5%Clinton3,886 | 52.9%Trump4,721 | 3.6% | R+9.4 | D+5.8 | R+11.4 | 8,929 | |
| R | 42.0%Obama3,362 | 57.1%Romney4,573 | 0.9% | R+15.1 | R+4.9 | R+19.0 | 8,007 | |
| R | 44.6%Obama3,527 | 54.8%McCain4,333 | 0.6% | R+10.2 | D+8.3 | R+17.5 | 7,910 | |
| R | 40.4%Kerry3,034 | 58.9%Bush4,425 | 0.8% | R+18.5 | — | R+16.0 | 7,517 |
Palmer Ranch is a deed-restricted community on Sarasota's southern fringe where a high share of retirees and above-median incomes shape an electorate that has leaned Republican in recent cycles by comfortable margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 18.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.
A population of 16,867, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,838 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Venice and Laurel.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Palmer Ranch, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1254238/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.