Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
67.6%4,619 participants ÷ 6,834 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+13.9 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-9.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
53.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%
57.8%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
4,619
6,834 ± 798
67.6%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
3,946
6,822 ± 767
57.8%
Audited
E/D
4,905
6,841 ± 831
71.7%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Gulf Gate, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
51.3%
2,085 votes · D+3.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 48.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
53.2%
2,439 votes · R+7.4
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 51.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,356votes
48.2% of the vote · R+2.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,101 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
2,481votes
50.8% of the vote · R+2.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 2,439 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−2.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.5 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −3.5 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+7.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+3.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +7.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Gulf Gate · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Sarasota County, Florida, the county containing Gulf Gate — Gulf Gate’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Gulf Gate, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Gulf Gate is a census-designated place on Sarasota County's southwest edge, where an older, largely white residential base produces above-average voter participation rates relative to its modest population size.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 7.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.4 points.
A population of 7,998, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,379 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bee Ridge and Southgate.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Gulf Gate, Florida voted Republican by 7.4 points (R+7.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,586 votes cast, 2,101 went Democratic and 2,439 went Republican.
When did Gulf Gate, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Gulf Gate, Florida voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Gulf Gate, Florida?
Gulf Gate, Florida has a population of 7,998 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gulf Gate, Florida?
Median household income in Gulf Gate, Florida is $61,379 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Gulf Gate, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Gulf Gate, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
