Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic54.0%603TrumpRepublican44.4%495OtherAll other candidates1.6%18
D+9.7
Lead
108
Total
1,116
vs nation
D+11.1
BidenDemocratic46.4%503TrumpRepublican51.8%561OtherAll other candidates1.8%20
R+5.4
Lead
58
Total
1,084
vs nation
R+9.8
ClintonDemocratic40.6%450TrumpRepublican53.7%595OtherAll other candidates5.7%63
R+13.1
Lead
145
Total
1,108
vs nation
R+15.2
ObamaDemocratic43.0%372RomneyRepublican55.8%483OtherAll other candidates1.2%10
R+12.8
Lead
111
Total
865
vs nation
R+16.7
ObamaDemocratic45.8%571McCainRepublican53.3%665OtherAll other candidates1.0%12
R+7.5
Lead
94
Total
1,248
vs nation
R+14.8
KerryDemocratic44.4%507BushRepublican54.8%626OtherAll other candidates0.9%10
R+10.4
Lead
119
Total
1,143
vs nation
R+8.0
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+9.7MIT Election Lab
Population
3,8022024 5-year
Population density
1,462 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$74,6252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.6%2024 5-year
Black
23.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+9.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+13.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
44.7%1,121 participants ÷ 2,507 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+6.6 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-16.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
36.3%–38.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
30.8%
39.3%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,121
2,507 ± 376
44.7%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
783
1,992 ± 309
39.3%
Audited
E/D
1,088
2,368 ± 343
45.9%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
802
2,604 ± 351
30.8%
Audited
E/D
1,115
2,718 ± 338
41.0%
Audited
E/D
865
2,372
36.5%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Cedar Grove, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
54.0%
603 votes · D+9.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 46.4%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
55.8%
483 votes · R+12.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 54.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
603votes
54.0% of the vote · D+9.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 571 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
665votes
53.3% of the vote · R+7.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 626 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+11.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+9.7 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −8.0 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+16.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +15.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Cedar Grove · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Bay County, Florida, the county containing Cedar Grove — Cedar Grove’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Cedar Grove, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Cedar Grove sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.7 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 13.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 15.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.7 points.
A population of 3,802, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,625 describe the city.
In 2024, Cedar Grove, Florida voted Democratic by 9.7 points (D+9.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,116 votes cast, 603 went Democratic and 495 went Republican.
When did Cedar Grove, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Cedar Grove, Florida voted Republican was 2020.
How many people live in Cedar Grove, Florida?
Cedar Grove, Florida has a population of 3,802 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cedar Grove, Florida?
Median household income in Cedar Grove, Florida is $74,625 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Cedar Grove, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Cedar Grove, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
