HarrisDemocratic44.4%6,240TrumpRepublican52.8%7,434OtherAll other candidates2.8%393
R+8.5- Lead
- 1,194
- Total
- 14,067
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Temescal Valley, CA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic48.5%6,796TrumpRepublican50.1%7,023OtherAll other candidates1.5%207
R+1.6- Lead
- 227
- Total
- 14,026
- vs nation
- R+6.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.2%4,328TrumpRepublican52.3%5,233OtherAll other candidates4.5%452
R+9.0- Lead
- 905
- Total
- 10,013
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.1%3,595RomneyRepublican56.5%4,952OtherAll other candidates2.4%210
R+15.5- Lead
- 1,357
- Total
- 8,757
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.3%3,618McCainRepublican53.4%4,171OtherAll other candidates0.3%21
R+7.1- Lead
- 553
- Total
- 7,810
- vs nation
- R+14.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.3%2,588BushRepublican63.1%4,493OtherAll other candidates0.6%43
R+26.7- Lead
- 1,905
- Total
- 7,124
- vs nation
- R+24.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,0692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $122,0512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.7 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- French Valley, CA · twin score 88.9
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −26.7% |
| 2008 | −7.1% |
| 2012 | −15.5% |
| 2016 | −9.0% |
| 2020 | −1.6% |
| 2024 | −8.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44.4%Harris6,240 | 52.8%Trump7,434 | 2.8% | R+8.5 | R+6.9 | R+7.0 | 14,067 | |
| R | 48.5%Biden6,796 | 50.1%Trump7,023 | 1.5% | R+1.6 | D+7.4 | R+6.1 | 14,026 | |
| R | 43.2%Clinton4,328 | 52.3%Trump5,233 | 4.5% | R+9.0 | D+6.5 | R+11.1 | 10,013 | |
| R | 41.1%Obama3,595 | 56.5%Romney4,952 | 2.4% | R+15.5 | R+8.4 | R+19.4 | 8,757 | |
| R | 46.3%Obama3,618 | 53.4%McCain4,171 | 0.3% | R+7.1 | — | R+14.4 | 7,810 | |
| R | 36.3%Kerry2,588 | 63.1%Bush4,493 | 0.6% | R+26.7 | — | R+24.3 | 7,124 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.0%6,459 | 53.0%7,271 | 13,730 |
| 2020 | R | 44.9%6,157 | 55.1%7,553 | 13,710 |
Temescal Valley sits in western Riverside County, where rapid residential expansion has drawn younger families from coastal metros, gradually shifting the demographic and electoral composition of a historically Republican-leaning corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 26.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.5 points.
A population of 30,069, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $122,051 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of French Valley and Beaumont.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
French Valley
California
88.9twin score
elasticitycollege share% Latino
Beaumont
California
86.5twin score
college share% Latino2008–2012 trajectory
Woodcrest
California
84.3twin score
% Latinocollege share2012 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Temescal Valley, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0678138/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
California at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Temescal Valley, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Temescal Valley, California voted Republican by 8.5 points (R+8.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,067 votes cast, 6,240 went Democratic and 7,434 went Republican.
How many people live in Temescal Valley, California?
Temescal Valley, California has a population of 30,069 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Temescal Valley, California?
Median household income in Temescal Valley, California is $122,051 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Temescal Valley, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Temescal Valley, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.