2024 presidential election
San Juan Capistrano
TrumpR+7.9
Constituent county margins for San Juan Capistrano, CAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 52.6% | 9,501 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 44.7% | 8,079 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 2.7% | 482 |
D+60R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −14.1% |
| 2012 | −23.7% |
| 2016 | −9.7% |
| 2020 | −3.5% |
| 2024 | −7.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44.7%Harris8,079 | 52.6%Trump9,501 | 2.7% | 18,062 | ||
| R | 47.4%Biden9,034 | 50.9%Trump9,697 | 1.7%incl. Jorgensen | 19,061 | ||
| R | 42.6%Clinton6,677 | 52.3%Trump8,196 | 5.1%incl. Johnson | 15,679 | ||
| R | 38.2%Obama5,551 | 61.8%Romney8,996 | 0.0% | 14,547 | ||
| R | 42.8%Obama5,831 | 56.9%McCain7,750 | 0.3% | 13,616 |
Demographics
Demographic profile
Demographic Profile
Key indicators compared across containing geographies
| Indicator | San Juan CapistranoCity | CaliforniaState | United StatesNation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race & Ethnicity | |||
| White | 61.3% | 39.7% | 61.0% |
| Black | 0.4% | 5.4% | 12.2% |
| Asian | 4.5% | 15.5% | 6.0% |
| Two or more races | 18.8% | 19.2% | 12.6% |
| Other race | 15.0% | 20.1% | 8.2% |
| Hispanic or Latino | 34.6% | 40.1% | 19.3% |
| Income & Age | |||
| Median household income | $129,457 | $99,122 | $84,427 |
| Poverty rate | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% |
| Median age | 46.2 | 37.9 | 39.1 |
| Age 18–24 | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Age 65 and older | 16.1% | 15.6% | 17.2% |
| Education & Language | |||
| Bachelor's degree or higher (25+) | 44.1% | 36.6% | 35.6% |
| Speaks a non-English language at home | 46.4% | 44.4% | 22.3% |
| Spanish | 24.3% | 28.4% | 13.6% |
| Vietnamese | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Other Indo-European | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese) | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Ancestry | |||
| Largest ancestry | Mexican 28.3% | Mexican 32.3% | German 12.5% |
| 2nd-largest ancestry | German 7.5% | German 6.8% | Mexican 11.3% |
| 3rd-largest ancestry | English 7.3% | English 6.3% | English 9.5% |
| Religion | |||
| Catholic | 29.9%County context | 26.2% | 18.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 11.7%County context | 9.0% | 16.5% |
| Unaffiliated or unclaimed | 50.5%County context | 55.2% | 51.5% |
ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.
Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
German
7.5%
English
7.3%
Irish
6.0%
American
4.5%
Italian
3.6%
French
1.4%
Polish
1.3%
Scottish
1.3%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Mexican
28.3%
Salvadoran
1.1%
Guatemalan
0.7%
Spanish
0.5%
Puerto Rican
0.4%
Colombian
0.4%
Spaniard
0.4%
Cuban
0.3%
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Tribal grouping · detailed group · ACS B02020 · B02016
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
Aztec
0.3%
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Vietnamese
7.2%
Chinese
3.5%
Korean
3.3%
Filipino
2.7%
Asian Indian
2.0%
Japanese
1.0%
Taiwanese
0.5%
Pakistani
0.3%
Below 1% of the population here; subgroup estimates are within the survey's margin of error.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 46.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$129,457
San Juan Capistrano$129,457
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.7%
Working age (18–64)8.9%
Seniors (65+)12.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
53.6%
speak English only
Spanish24.3%
Vietnamese6.4%
Other Indo-European3.6%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)3.2%
Korean2.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island1.9%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)1.7%
Arabic1.0%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.6%
German or other West Germanic0.4%
Other languages0.4%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Unaffiliated or not counted50.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.
San Juan Capistrano sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 23.7 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.9 points.
A population of 35,095, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $129,457 describe the city.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Juan Capistrano, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0668028/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did San Juan Capistrano, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Juan Capistrano, California voted Republican by 7.9 points (R+7.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,062 votes cast, 8,079 went Democratic and 9,501 went Republican.
What is San Juan Capistrano, California's political typology?
Akashic places San Juan Capistrano, California in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the city has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in San Juan Capistrano, California?
San Juan Capistrano, California has a population of 35,095 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Juan Capistrano, California?
Median household income in San Juan Capistrano, California is $129,457 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Juan Capistrano, California?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in San Juan Capistrano, California from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The city's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.