† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupPattersonCaliforniaUnited States
Mexican61.2%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran1.1%2.0%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.8%0.6%1.8%
Guatemalan0.5%1.3%0.5%
Spaniard0.5%0.3%—
Spanish0.4%0.3%—
Nicaraguan0.3%0.3%—
German4.9%6.8%12.5%
Irish4.4%5.9%9.4%
English4.4%6.3%9.5%
Portuguese2.9%——
Italian2.2%3.4%4.8%
American1.5%2.8%5.3%
French0.8%1.3%1.6%
Scottish0.8%0.9%1.3%
Asian Indian1.5%2.3%1.4%
Filipino1.0%3.3%0.9%
Chinese0.6%3.9%1.3%
Cambodian0.5%——
Afghan0.4%——
Vietnamese0.3%1.7%0.6%
Hmong0.2%0.3%—
African American†4.0%4.4%9.9%
Aztec8.1%0.3%—
Fijian6.1%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Patterson
California
United States
Median age
30.9
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
10.2%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
10.1%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Patterson
California
United States
Median household income
$93,650
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.0%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
13.6%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Patterson
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
56.1%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
48.6%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.2%
3.4%
2.0%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
1.5%
2.1%
0.6%
Arabic
1.5%
0.6%
0.4%
Religious landscape
Measure
Patterson
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Patterson, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+11.4%
2008
+30.8%
2012
+31.3%
2016
+35.4%
2020
+32.2%
2024
+14.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
55.8%Harris3,722
41.4%Trump2,760
2.8%
D+14.4
R+17.8
D+15.9
6,667
D
64.9%Biden5,300
32.7%Trump2,669
2.4%
D+32.2
R+3.1
D+27.8
8,165
D
64.8%Clinton3,930
29.4%Trump1,784
5.8%
D+35.4
D+4.1
D+33.3
6,067
D
64.2%Obama3,343
32.9%Romney1,712
3.0%
D+31.3
D+0.5
D+27.5
5,210
D
65.0%Obama3,164
34.2%McCain1,664
0.8%
D+30.8
D+19.5
D+23.6
4,866
D
55.2%Kerry2,316
43.9%Bush1,839
0.9%
D+11.4
—
D+13.8
4,193
Patterson sits at the western edge of Stanislaus County, where rapid residential expansion has drawn Bay Area transplants into a historically agricultural community, creating a shifting demographic mix that makes the city a minor bellwether for exurban California.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 17.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.4 points.
A population of 24,693, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,650 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sanger and Adelanto.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Patterson, California voted Democratic by 14.4 points (D+14.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,667 votes cast, 3,722 went Democratic and 2,760 went Republican.
How many people live in Patterson, California?
Patterson, California has a population of 24,693 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Patterson, California?
Median household income in Patterson, California is $93,650 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Patterson, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Patterson, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
