Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1996–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic32.4%593TrumpRepublican64.8%1,185OtherAll other candidates2.8%52
R+32.3
Lead
592
Total
1,830
vs nation
R+30.9
BidenDemocratic37.8%644TrumpRepublican59.4%1,011OtherAll other candidates2.8%48
R+21.6
Lead
367
Total
1,703
vs nation
R+26.0
ClintonDemocratic33.3%507TrumpRepublican60.4%920OtherAll other candidates6.3%96
R+27.1
Lead
413
Total
1,523
vs nation
R+29.2
ObamaDemocratic36.1%554RomneyRepublican61.3%941OtherAll other candidates2.7%41
R+25.2
Lead
387
Total
1,536
vs nation
R+29.1
ObamaDemocratic39.7%658McCainRepublican59.1%979OtherAll other candidates1.1%19
R+19.4
Lead
321
Total
1,656
vs nation
R+26.7
KerryDemocratic31.4%493BushRepublican66.2%1,040OtherAll other candidates2.4%38
R+34.8
Lead
547
Total
1,571
vs nation
R+32.4
ClintonDemocratic28.7%276DoleRepublican59.2%568OtherAll other candidates12.1%116
R+30.4
Lead
292
Total
960
vs nation
R+38.9
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+32.3MIT Election Lab
Population
2,9992024 5-year
Population density
93 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
32.2 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$71,6192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
74.2%2024 5-year
Black
0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.8%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+34.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
72.7%1,860 participants ÷ 2,559 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+26.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
46.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%
43.6%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,860
2,559 ± 366
72.7%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,195
2,741 ± 464
43.6%
Audited
E/D
1,724
2,457 ± 357
70.2%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
North Fork, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1996–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
39.7%
658 votes · R+19.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 37.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
66.2%
1,040 votes · R+34.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 64.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
658votes
39.7% of the vote · R+19.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 644 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,185votes
64.8% of the vote · R+32.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 1,040 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
−26.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+21.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −26.7 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+38.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.4 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +32.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
North Fork · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Madera County, California, the county containing North Fork — North Fork’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in North Fork, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
North Fork sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 34.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.3 points.
A population of 2,999, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,619 describe the city.
In 2024, North Fork, California voted Republican by 32.3 points (R+32.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,830 votes cast, 593 went Democratic and 1,185 went Republican.
How many people live in North Fork, California?
North Fork, California has a population of 2,999 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Fork, California?
Median household income in North Fork, California is $71,619 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of North Fork, California?
Akashic tracks 7 presidential elections in North Fork, California from 1996 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.
