Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1996–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic29.1%588TrumpRepublican69.1%1,394OtherAll other candidates1.8%36
R+39.9
Lead
806
Total
2,018
vs nation
R+38.5
BidenDemocratic30.3%633TrumpRepublican68.0%1,422OtherAll other candidates1.7%35
R+37.8
Lead
789
Total
2,090
vs nation
R+42.2
ClintonDemocratic25.3%444TrumpRepublican69.8%1,225OtherAll other candidates4.9%86
R+44.5
Lead
781
Total
1,755
vs nation
R+46.6
ObamaDemocratic28.6%466RomneyRepublican68.8%1,120OtherAll other candidates2.6%43
R+40.1
Lead
654
Total
1,629
vs nation
R+44.0
ObamaDemocratic35.0%593McCainRepublican64.2%1,089OtherAll other candidates0.8%14
R+29.2
Lead
496
Total
1,696
vs nation
R+36.5
KerryDemocratic27.5%448BushRepublican71.7%1,169OtherAll other candidates0.9%14
R+44.2
Lead
721
Total
1,631
vs nation
R+41.7
ClintonDemocratic29.6%486DoleRepublican58.3%957OtherAll other candidates12.1%199
R+28.7
Lead
471
Total
1,642
vs nation
R+37.2
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+39.9MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0372024 5-year
Population density
1,168 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$126,5832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
45.9%2024 5-year
Black
1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
35.9%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+44.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20222 cycles · 2 audited
2022 turnout
62.2%1,456 participants ÷ 2,339 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+15.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-10.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
62.2%
20202022
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2022Mid
1,456
2,339 ± 364
62.2%
Audited
E/D
2,118
2,712 ± 401
78.1%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Madera Ranchos, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1996–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
35.0%
593 votes · R+29.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 30.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
71.7%
1,169 votes · R+44.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 69.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
633votes
30.3% of the vote · R+37.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 593 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,422votes
68.0% of the vote · R+37.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,394 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−36.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+29.2 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −37.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+46.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +44.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Madera Ranchos · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Madera County, California, the county containing Madera Ranchos — Madera Ranchos’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Madera Ranchos, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Madera Ranchos sits in California's Central Valley farming belt, where a predominantly Latino workforce and longstanding agricultural ties produce a voter profile that diverges from both coastal urban and inland suburban norms.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.9 points.
A population of 3,037, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $126,583 describe the city.
In 2024, Madera Ranchos, California voted Republican by 39.9 points (R+39.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,018 votes cast, 588 went Democratic and 1,394 went Republican.
How many people live in Madera Ranchos, California?
Madera Ranchos, California has a population of 3,037 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Madera Ranchos, California?
Median household income in Madera Ranchos, California is $126,583 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Madera Ranchos, California?
Akashic tracks 7 presidential elections in Madera Ranchos, California from 1996 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.
