† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLaguna NiguelCaliforniaUnited States
German13.7%6.8%12.5%
English13.3%6.3%9.5%
Irish11.0%5.9%9.4%
American8.2%2.8%5.3%
Italian6.6%3.4%4.8%
French2.6%1.3%1.6%
Polish2.4%0.9%2.2%
Scottish2.4%0.9%1.3%
Mexican12.2%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.5%2.0%0.7%
Guatemalan0.3%1.3%0.5%
Spanish0.2%0.3%—
Puerto Rican0.2%0.6%1.8%
Colombian0.2%0.3%0.4%
Spaniard0.2%0.3%—
Vietnamese3.7%1.7%0.6%
Chinese1.8%3.9%1.3%
Korean1.7%1.2%0.4%
Filipino1.4%3.3%0.9%
Asian Indian1.0%2.3%1.4%
Japanese0.5%0.6%0.2%
Taiwanese0.3%0.3%—
Pakistani0.2%——
African American†0.9%4.4%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Laguna Niguel
California
United States
Median age
47.6
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
6.9%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
22.4%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Laguna Niguel
California
United States
Median household income
$140,452
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
6.4%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
59.8%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Laguna Niguel
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
30.3%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
9.5%
28.4%
13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
2.3%
0.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
10.7%
3.4%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
1.9%
3.5%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Laguna Niguel
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Laguna Niguel, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−23.8%
2008
−5.7%
2012
−17.4%
2016
−1.7%
2020
+4.1%
2024
+0.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
48.5%Harris17,892
48.4%Trump17,886
3.1%
D+0.02
R+4.1
D+1.5
36,918
D
51.1%Biden20,359
47.0%Trump18,738
1.9%
D+4.1
D+5.8
R+0.4
39,839
R
46.5%Clinton14,943
48.2%Trump15,494
5.3%
R+1.7
D+15.7
R+3.8
32,134
R
40.1%Obama12,921
57.5%Romney18,538
2.5%
R+17.4
R+11.7
R+21.3
32,260
R
47.1%Obama14,948
52.8%McCain16,761
0.1%
R+5.7
D+18.1
R+13.0
31,751
R
37.7%Kerry11,483
61.5%Bush18,751
0.8%
R+23.8
—
R+21.4
30,486
Laguna Niguel sits in southern Orange County, long a reliable Republican stronghold, but recent cycles have shown narrowing margins as demographic and generational turnover reshapes the electorate in its master-planned neighborhoods.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 23.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.0 points.
A population of 64,139, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $140,452 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mission Viejo and Dana Point.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Laguna Niguel, California voted a near-tie (D+0.02), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 36,918 votes cast, 17,892 went Democratic and 17,886 went Republican.
When did Laguna Niguel, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Laguna Niguel, California voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Laguna Niguel, California?
Laguna Niguel, California has a population of 64,139 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Laguna Niguel, California?
Median household income in Laguna Niguel, California is $140,452 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Laguna Niguel, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Laguna Niguel, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
