Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic27.1%608TrumpRepublican70.7%1,589OtherAll other candidates2.2%50
R+43.7
Lead
981
Total
2,247
vs nation
R+42.2
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic30.0%729TrumpRepublican68.2%1,655OtherAll other candidates1.8%43
R+38.2
Lead
926
Total
2,427
vs nation
R+42.6
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic28.8%552TrumpRepublican66.0%1,265OtherAll other candidates5.2%99
R+37.2
Lead
713
Total
1,916
vs nation
R+39.3
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic33.2%575RomneyRepublican63.8%1,107OtherAll other candidates3.0%52
R+30.7
Lead
532
Total
1,734
vs nation
R+34.5
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic36.1%680McCainRepublican63.4%1,195OtherAll other candidates0.6%11
R+27.3
Lead
515
Total
1,886
vs nation
R+34.6
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic27.2%499BushRepublican72.2%1,323OtherAll other candidates0.6%11
R+45.0
Lead
824
Total
1,833
vs nation
R+42.5
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+43.7MIT Election Lab
Population
4,9142024 5-year
Median household income
$98,7502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
64.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
32.6%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+45.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−45.0%
2008
−27.3%
2012
−30.7%
2016
−37.2%
2020
−38.2%
2024
−43.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
27.1%Harris608
70.7%Trump1,589
2.2%
R+43.7
R+5.5
R+42.2
2,247
R
30.0%Biden729
68.2%Trump1,655
1.8%
R+38.2
R+0.9
R+42.6
2,427
R
28.8%Clinton552
66.0%Trump1,265
5.2%
R+37.2
R+6.5
R+39.3
1,916
R
33.2%Obama575
63.8%Romney1,107
3.0%
R+30.7
R+3.4
R+34.5
1,734
R
36.1%Obama680
63.4%McCain1,195
0.6%
R+27.3
—
R+34.6
1,886
R
27.2%Kerry499
72.2%Bush1,323
0.6%
R+45.0
—
R+42.5
1,833
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Denair sits in Stanislaus County, a region where farming and rural economic concerns consistently drive voter preferences. Turnout in this sub-5,000 CDP tends to reflect broader county patterns rather than independent political swings.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 45.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.7 points.
A population of 4,914, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $98,750 describe the city.
In 2024, Denair, California voted Republican by 43.7 points (R+43.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,247 votes cast, 608 went Democratic and 1,589 went Republican.
How many people live in Denair, California?
Denair, California has a population of 4,914 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Denair, California?
Median household income in Denair, California is $98,750 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Denair, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Denair, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.