Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1996–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic32.5%785TrumpRepublican65.2%1,573OtherAll other candidates2.3%55
R+32.7
Lead
788
Total
2,413
vs nation
R+31.2
BidenDemocratic31.9%752TrumpRepublican66.4%1,564OtherAll other candidates1.7%39
R+34.5
Lead
812
Total
2,355
vs nation
R+38.9
ClintonDemocratic28.2%586TrumpRepublican66.5%1,382OtherAll other candidates5.2%109
R+38.3
Lead
796
Total
2,077
vs nation
R+40.4
ObamaDemocratic31.4%632RomneyRepublican65.9%1,325OtherAll other candidates2.7%54
R+34.5
Lead
693
Total
2,011
vs nation
R+38.3
ObamaDemocratic36.7%736McCainRepublican62.8%1,260OtherAll other candidates0.5%11
R+26.1
Lead
524
Total
2,007
vs nation
R+33.4
KerryDemocratic29.0%556BushRepublican69.9%1,337OtherAll other candidates1.1%21
R+40.8
Lead
781
Total
1,914
vs nation
R+38.3
ClintonDemocratic30.6%310DoleRepublican57.3%581OtherAll other candidates12.1%123
R+26.7
Lead
271
Total
1,014
vs nation
R+35.2
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+32.7MIT Election Lab
Population
3,9672024 5-year
Population density
231 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
17.2 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$80,8612024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.9%2024 5-year
Black
2.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.7%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+40.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
76.9%2,457 participants ÷ 3,193 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+17.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-8.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
59.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
44.8%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,457
3,193 ± 490
76.9%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,636
3,653 ± 531
44.8%
Audited
E/D
2,389
3,840 ± 449
62.2%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Coarsegold, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1996–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
36.7%
736 votes · R+26.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 32.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
69.9%
1,337 votes · R+40.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 66.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
785votes
32.5% of the vote · R+32.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 752 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,573votes
65.2% of the vote · R+32.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,564 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−31.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+32.7 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −33.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+40.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.3 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +38.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Coarsegold · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Madera County, California, the county containing Coarsegold — Coarsegold’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Coarsegold, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Coarsegold sits in Madera County's oak-woodland terrain, where low population density and a largely white, working-age demographic profile have consistently produced Republican-leaning margins in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 40.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.7 points.
A population of 3,967, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,861 describe the city.
In 2024, Coarsegold, California voted Republican by 32.7 points (R+32.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,413 votes cast, 785 went Democratic and 1,573 went Republican.
How many people live in Coarsegold, California?
Coarsegold, California has a population of 3,967 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Coarsegold, California?
Median household income in Coarsegold, California is $80,861 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Coarsegold, California?
Akashic tracks 7 presidential elections in Coarsegold, California from 1996 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.
