HarrisDemocratic38.4%1,197TrumpRepublican60.2%1,877OtherAll other candidates1.5%46
R+21.8- Lead
- 680
- Total
- 3,120
- vs nation
- R+20.3
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Magnolia, AR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic39.8%1,401TrumpRepublican56.1%1,976OtherAll other candidates4.1%144
R+16.3- Lead
- 575
- Total
- 3,521
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.3%1,518TrumpRepublican54.2%1,991OtherAll other candidates4.5%166
R+12.9- Lead
- 473
- Total
- 3,675
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.3%1,350RomneyRepublican58.6%1,964OtherAll other candidates1.1%38
R+18.3- Lead
- 614
- Total
- 3,352
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.9%1,416McCainRepublican58.8%2,138OtherAll other candidates2.3%82
R+19.9- Lead
- 722
- Total
- 3,636
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.8%1,636BushRepublican55.8%2,084OtherAll other candidates0.3%13
R+12.0- Lead
- 448
- Total
- 3,733
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,8942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,1272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 42.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Valley Falls, SC · twin score 95.0
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −12.0% |
| 2008 | −19.9% |
| 2012 | −18.3% |
| 2016 | −12.9% |
| 2020 | −16.3% |
| 2024 | −21.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 38.4%Harris1,197 | 60.2%Trump1,877 | 1.5% | R+21.8 | R+5.5 | R+20.3 | 3,120 | |
| R | 39.8%Biden1,401 | 56.1%Trump1,976 | 4.1% | R+16.3 | R+3.5 | R+20.8 | 3,521 | |
| R | 41.3%Clinton1,518 | 54.2%Trump1,991 | 4.5% | R+12.9 | D+5.4 | R+15.0 | 3,675 | |
| R | 40.3%Obama1,350 | 58.6%Romney1,964 | 1.1% | R+18.3 | D+1.5 | R+22.2 | 3,352 | |
| R | 38.9%Obama1,416 | 58.8%McCain2,138 | 2.3% | R+19.9 | — | R+27.1 | 3,636 | |
| R | 43.8%Kerry1,636 | 55.8%Bush2,084 | 0.3% | R+12.0 | — | R+9.5 | 3,733 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.5%1,060 | 64.5%1,925 | 2,985 |
| 2020 | R | 39.6%1,336 | 60.4%2,035 | 3,371 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%2,124 | 2,124 |
Magnolia sits in the Ark-La-Tex borderland, where the area's legacy industries have shaped a working-class electorate that tilts heavily toward statewide Republican margins while keeping local races more competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 21.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.8 points.
A population of 10,894, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,127 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Valley Falls and Anderson Creek.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Valley Falls
South Carolina
95.0twin score
median age2008–2012 trajectorymedian income
Anderson Creek
North Carolina
90.4twin score
median agecollege share2008–2012 trajectory≠ Puerto Rican ancestry
Chickasaw
Alabama
88.8twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectorymedian income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Magnolia, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0543460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Magnolia, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Magnolia, Arkansas voted Republican by 21.8 points (R+21.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,120 votes cast, 1,197 went Democratic and 1,877 went Republican.
How many people live in Magnolia, Arkansas?
Magnolia, Arkansas has a population of 10,894 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Magnolia, Arkansas?
Median household income in Magnolia, Arkansas is $56,127 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Magnolia, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Magnolia, Arkansas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.