Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Magnolia, AR
presidential margin
2008R+24.12012R+23.62016R+26.62020R+31.22024R+36.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+36.5
2024
median income$55,334U.S. $80,734 · AR $60,773
median age34.2U.S. 39.1 · AR 38.8
poverty rate21.1%U.S. 12.5% · AR 16.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)21.9%U.S. 35.6% · AR 26.0%
non-english3.4%U.S. 22.3% · AR 8.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American10.6%
English8.3%
Irish6.0%
African American†32.8%
African1.4%
Mexican3.2%
religion
other traditions
Black Protestant25.7%
Mainline6.5%
Latter-day Saints1.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Magnolia, AR, Arkansas

Akashic
Magnolia, ARTrumpR+36.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Magnolia, AR, ARA map of the single county of Magnolia, AR, AR, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Columbia County, AR · R+36.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican67.6%5,367
Kamala HarrisDemocratic31.1%2,466
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other1.3%107
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Magnolia, AR, AR — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Columbia County, ARRepublicanR+36.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
31.1%Harris2,466
67.6%Trump5,367
1.3%Kennedy107
−36.5%
7,940
R
32.7%Biden2,814
63.8%Trump5,500
3.5%Jorgensen302
−31.2%
8,616
R
36.0%Clinton3,140
62.6%Trump5,456
1.3%Johnson117
−26.6%
8,713
R
37.6%Obama3,557
61.2%Romney5,790
1.1%Johnson108
−23.6%
9,455
R
37.2%Obama3,554
61.3%McCain5,861
1.5%Nader143
−24.1%
9,558
R
41.5%Kerry4,108
57.8%Bush5,729
0.7%Nader72
−16.4%
9,909
R
43.0%Gore4,003
53.9%Bush5,018
3.1%Nader286
−10.9%
9,307
D
52.7%Clinton4,730
37.6%Dole3,376
9.8%Perot876
+15.1%
8,982
D
48.3%Clinton4,747
37.7%Bush3,702
14.0%Perot1,370
+10.6%
9,819
R
37.8%Dukakis3,706
59.3%Bush5,810
2.9%Dodge286
−21.5%
9,802
R
35.8%Mondale3,680
63.5%Reagan6,526
0.8%Bergland79
−27.7%
10,285
R
44.6%Carter4,445
52.8%Reagan5,259
2.6%Anderson263
−8.2%
9,967
D
52.3%Carter4,708
47.6%Ford4,287
0.1%Maddox6
+4.7%
9,001
R
27.3%McGovern2,193
72.3%Nixon5,801
0.4%Schmitz29
−45.0%
8,023
O
30.2%Humphrey2,487
23.2%Nixon1,916
46.6%Wallace3,843
Wallace +16.4
8,246
R
46.3%Johnson3,485
53.2%Goldwater4,009
0.5%Hass39
−7.0%
7,533
D
43.3%Kennedy2,427
42.3%Nixon2,372
14.4%Byrd806
+1.0%
5,605
D
52.7%Stevenson2,845
43.4%Eisenhower2,342
3.8%Andrews207
+9.3%
5,394
D
63.4%Stevenson3,359
36.4%Eisenhower1,931
0.2%Hallinan9
+26.9%
5,299
D
60.0%Truman1,788
7.3%Dewey217
32.7%Thurmond976
+52.7%
2,981
D
84.3%Roosevelt2,145
15.5%Dewey394
0.2%Thomas4
+68.9%
2,543
D
93.7%Roosevelt2,270
6.2%Willkie149
0.1%Thomas3
+87.6%
2,422
D
96.7%Roosevelt1,847
3.3%Landon64
0.0%
+93.3%
1,911
D
96.2%Roosevelt2,420
3.4%Hoover85
0.4%Thomas10
+92.8%
2,515
D
73.9%Smith1,752
26.0%Hoover617
0.0%Thomas1
+47.9%
2,370
D
77.0%Davis1,382
19.5%Coolidge350
3.5%La Follette63
+57.5%
1,795
D
70.1%Cox2,052
29.3%Harding857
0.6%Debs17
+40.8%
2,926
D
74.2%Wilson2,074
25.8%Hughes721
0.0%
+48.4%
2,795
D
66.7%Wilson1,101
20.6%Taft340
12.7%Roosevelt209
+46.1%
1,650
D
65.6%Bryan1,613
33.2%Taft817
1.2%Debs30
+32.4%
2,460
D
71.2%Parker1,445
27.3%Roosevelt554
1.5%Debs31
+43.9%
2,030
D
69.8%Bryan1,440
29.4%McKinley606
0.8%Woolley16
+40.4%
2,062
D
79.8%Bryan2,159
19.8%McKinley537
0.4%Palmer11
+59.9%
2,707
D
66.4%Cleveland1,714
18.4%Harrison475
15.3%Weaver394
+48.0%
2,583
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −36.5% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−36.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+48.0%
1896+59.9%
1900+40.4%
1904+43.9%
1908+32.4%
1912+46.1%
1916+48.4%
1920+40.8%
1924+57.5%
1928+47.9%
1932+92.8%
1936+93.3%
1940+87.6%
1944+68.9%
1948+52.7%
1952+26.9%
1956+9.3%
1960+1.0%
1964−7.0%
1968+6.9%
1972−45.0%
1976+4.7%
1980−8.2%
1984−27.7%
1988−21.5%
1992+10.6%
1996+15.1%
2000−10.9%
2004−16.4%
2008−24.1%
2012−23.6%
2016−26.6%
2020−31.2%
2024−36.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Magnolia, ARTotal registered voters, 2018–2024. Latest 12,145 in 2024.3.6K7.1K10.7K14.3K12.1K20182024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Magnolia, AR
YearTotal registered
201814,282
202013,163
202212,267
202412,145
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Magnolia anchors Columbia County in the pine-belt corner of southwest Arkansas, a region where Democratic registration lingers from an earlier era but Republican candidates have carried federal races by wide margins for over a decade.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 45.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.5 points.

A population of 22,349, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,334 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of El Dorado, AR and Jackson, TN.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

El Dorado, AR
94.6twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated% Black≠ median age
Jackson, TN
88.6twin score
% Evangelicalelasticity% Black≠ population scale
Camden, AR
88.3twin score
elasticity% Black% Catholic≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Magnolia, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/31620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Magnolia, AR

counties1
Columbia County

Frequently asked questions

How did Magnolia, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Magnolia, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 36.5 points (R+36.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,940 votes cast, 2,466 went Democratic and 5,367 went Republican.
When did Magnolia, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Magnolia, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas?
Magnolia, AR, Arkansas has a population of 22,349 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas is $55,334 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Magnolia, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Magnolia, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.