Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
El Dorado, AR
presidential margin
2008R+26.12012R+26.22016R+27.72020R+29.52024R+33.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+33.5
2024
median income$55,259U.S. $80,734 · AR $60,773
median age41.4U.S. 39.1 · AR 38.8
poverty rate19.5%U.S. 12.5% · AR 16.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)19.1%U.S. 35.6% · AR 26.0%
non-english4.2%U.S. 22.3% · AR 8.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English9.7%
American8.6%
German4.6%
African American†31.9%
African0.2%
Mexican4.1%
Puerto Rican0.2%
religion
other traditions
Black Protestant22.5%
Mainline5.8%
Latter-day Saints0.9%
Other Christian0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

El Dorado, AR, Arkansas

Akashic
El Dorado, ARTrumpR+33.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for El Dorado, AR, ARA map of the single county of El Dorado, AR, AR, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Union County, AR · R+33.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican66.0%10,196
Kamala HarrisDemocratic32.5%5,019
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Other1.5%233
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for El Dorado, AR, AR — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Union County, ARRepublicanR+33.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
32.5%Harris5,019
66.0%Trump10,196
1.5%Kennedy233
−33.5%
15,448
R
33.6%Biden5,584
63.1%Trump10,478
3.3%Jorgensen545
−29.5%
16,607
R
35.3%Clinton5,855
63.0%Trump10,456
1.7%Johnson275
−27.7%
16,586
R
36.1%Obama6,196
62.3%Romney10,699
1.6%Johnson282
−26.2%
17,177
R
36.0%Obama6,190
62.2%McCain10,677
1.8%Nader312
−26.1%
17,179
R
39.7%Kerry7,071
58.9%Bush10,502
1.5%Nader259
−19.2%
17,832
R
40.1%Gore6,261
55.4%Bush8,647
4.5%Nader701
−15.3%
15,609
D
52.5%Clinton8,373
38.0%Dole6,053
9.5%Perot1,514
+14.6%
15,940
D
47.3%Clinton8,786
39.3%Bush7,305
13.4%Perot2,489
+8.0%
18,580
R
34.4%Dukakis5,931
61.3%Bush10,581
4.3%Dodge744
−26.9%
17,256
R
33.1%Mondale6,208
65.7%Reagan12,333
1.2%Bergland218
−32.7%
18,759
R
40.2%Carter6,852
55.1%Reagan9,401
4.7%Anderson810
−14.9%
17,063
D
51.0%Carter8,257
48.9%Ford7,918
0.0%Maddox7
+2.1%
16,182
R
22.7%McGovern3,531
76.7%Nixon11,925
0.6%Schmitz87
−54.0%
15,543
O
25.7%Humphrey4,426
28.6%Nixon4,919
45.7%Wallace7,853
Wallace +17.1
17,198
R
44.6%Johnson6,948
54.4%Goldwater8,472
1.0%Hass160
−9.8%
15,580
D
47.9%Kennedy6,500
41.5%Nixon5,631
10.6%Byrd1,434
+6.4%
13,565
D
55.4%Stevenson7,055
39.8%Eisenhower5,059
4.8%Andrews612
+15.7%
12,726
D
58.7%Stevenson7,515
41.1%Eisenhower5,266
0.2%Hallinan29
+17.6%
12,810
D
67.0%Truman5,588
12.5%Dewey1,039
20.5%Thurmond1,712
+54.6%
8,339
D
84.7%Roosevelt4,624
15.3%Dewey833
0.0%Thomas2
+69.4%
5,459
D
90.6%Roosevelt4,842
9.1%Willkie489
0.3%Thomas14
+81.4%
5,345
D
93.9%Roosevelt4,141
5.8%Landon254
0.3%Lemke13
+88.2%
4,408
D
94.6%Roosevelt5,429
4.3%Hoover245
1.1%Thomas64
+90.3%
5,738
D
65.9%Smith3,128
34.0%Hoover1,612
0.2%Thomas8
+31.9%
4,748
D
73.6%Davis1,967
16.8%Coolidge450
9.6%La Follette256
+56.8%
2,673
D
78.1%Cox1,967
19.6%Harding493
2.4%Debs60
+58.5%
2,520
D
86.1%Wilson1,691
13.9%Hughes273
0.0%
+72.2%
1,964
D
73.5%Wilson1,090
10.2%Taft152
16.3%Roosevelt241
+63.3%
1,483
D
71.6%Bryan1,407
27.2%Taft535
1.2%Debs23
+44.4%
1,965
D
75.8%Parker955
23.6%Roosevelt297
0.6%Debs8
+52.2%
1,260
D
77.6%Bryan1,238
21.1%McKinley336
1.4%Woolley22
+56.5%
1,596
D
89.4%Bryan1,749
7.6%McKinley148
3.1%Palmer60
+81.8%
1,957
D
84.5%Cleveland1,431
6.3%Harrison106
9.3%Weaver157
+78.2%
1,694
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −33.5% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−33.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+78.2%
1896+81.8%
1900+56.5%
1904+52.2%
1908+44.4%
1912+63.3%
1916+72.2%
1920+58.5%
1924+56.8%
1928+31.9%
1932+90.3%
1936+88.2%
1940+81.4%
1944+69.4%
1948+54.6%
1952+17.6%
1956+15.7%
1960+6.4%
1964−9.8%
1968−2.9%
1972−54.0%
1976+2.1%
1980−14.9%
1984−32.7%
1988−26.9%
1992+8.0%
1996+14.6%
2000−15.3%
2004−19.2%
2008−26.1%
2012−26.2%
2016−27.7%
2020−29.5%
2024−33.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in El Dorado, ARTotal registered voters, 2018–2024. Latest 27,463 in 2024.7K14K21K28K27.5K20182024
Registered voters
Voter registration in El Dorado, AR
YearTotal registered
201827,756
202027,974
202226,531
202427,463
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

El Dorado anchors a corner of south Arkansas where petroleum refining and chemical manufacturing built the regional economy, producing an electorate that has trended heavily toward Republican candidates in federal races even as local contests remain more competitive.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.5 points.

A population of 37,900, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,259 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Magnolia, AR and Camden, AR.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Magnolia, AR
94.6twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated% Black≠ median age
Camden, AR
91.4twin score
elasticity% Black% Catholic≠ 2000 margin
Texarkana, TX-AR
87.4twin score
elasticity% Evangelical% Black≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Dorado, AR, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within El Dorado, AR

counties1
Union County

Frequently asked questions

How did El Dorado, AR, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Dorado, AR, Arkansas voted Republican by 33.5 points (R+33.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,448 votes cast, 5,019 went Democratic and 10,196 went Republican.
When did El Dorado, AR, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which El Dorado, AR, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas?
El Dorado, AR, Arkansas has a population of 37,900 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas?
Median household income in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas is $55,259 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of El Dorado, AR, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in El Dorado, AR, Arkansas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.