Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
El Centro, CA
presidential margin
2008D+26.22012D+32.02016D+41.52020D+24.42024R+0.9
full record · 1908 → 2024
R+0.9
2024
median income$57,681U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age33.2U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate19.5%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)16.1%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english75.3%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican82.9%
Salvadoran0.5%
Spaniard0.4%
English2.1%
German1.7%
Irish1.7%
African American†1.2%
African0.6%
Jamaican0.2%
Filipino0.5%
Chinese0.3%
Japanese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian2.3%
Latter-day Saints1.6%
Mainline0.4%
Black Protestant0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

El Centro, CA, California

Akashic
El Centro, CATrumpR+0.9
—
2024 presidential margin by county for El Centro, CA, CAA map of the single county of El Centro, CA, CA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Imperial County, CA · R+0.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican49.1%26,546
Kamala HarrisDemocratic48.3%26,083
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent2.6%1,396
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for El Centro, CA, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Imperial County, CARepublicanR+0.9
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
48.3%Harris26,083
49.1%Trump26,546
2.6%Kennedy1,396
−0.9%
54,025
D
61.1%Biden34,678
36.7%Trump20,847
2.1%Jorgensen1,218
+24.4%
56,743
D
67.9%Clinton32,667
26.4%Trump12,704
5.7%Johnson2,720
+41.5%
48,091
D
65.2%Obama25,136
33.1%Romney12,777
1.7%Johnson652
+32.0%
38,565
D
62.2%Obama24,162
36.1%McCain14,008
1.7%Nader650
+26.2%
38,820
D
52.4%Kerry17,964
46.4%Bush15,890
1.2%Badnarik420
+6.1%
34,274
D
53.5%Gore15,489
43.3%Bush12,524
3.2%Nader924
+10.2%
28,937
D
55.3%Clinton14,591
36.8%Dole9,705
8.0%Perot2,104
+18.5%
26,400
D
43.9%Clinton11,109
38.5%Bush9,759
17.6%Perot4,450
+5.3%
25,318
R
43.8%Dukakis10,243
55.2%Bush12,889
1.0%Paul233
−11.3%
23,365
R
36.9%Mondale8,237
62.0%Reagan13,829
1.1%Bergland235
−25.1%
22,301
R
36.9%Carter7,961
55.9%Reagan12,068
7.2%Anderson1,550
−19.0%
21,579
R
48.2%Carter10,244
49.9%Ford10,618
1.9%Macbride400
−1.8%
21,262
R
34.9%McGovern7,982
62.1%Nixon14,178
3.0%Schmitz689
−27.1%
22,849
R
36.6%Humphrey7,481
52.9%Nixon10,818
10.5%Wallace2,147
−16.3%
20,446
D
51.8%Johnson11,143
48.1%Goldwater10,330
0.1%Hass19
+3.8%
21,492
R
46.0%Kennedy9,119
53.5%Nixon10,606
0.4%Byrd81
−7.5%
19,806
R
43.6%Stevenson8,197
56.0%Eisenhower10,526
0.3%Andrews58
−12.4%
18,781
R
37.5%Stevenson6,333
61.9%Eisenhower10,462
0.6%Hallinan108
−24.4%
16,903
R
44.9%Truman5,301
52.6%Dewey6,217
2.5%Thurmond292
−7.8%
11,810
R
45.8%Roosevelt5,085
53.8%Dewey5,979
0.4%Thomas48
−8.0%
11,112
D
52.5%Roosevelt7,728
46.6%Willkie6,854
0.9%Thomas130
+5.9%
14,712
D
60.8%Roosevelt7,560
38.3%Landon4,771
0.9%Lemke113
+22.4%
12,444
D
67.3%Roosevelt8,772
29.0%Hoover3,783
3.7%Thomas484
+38.3%
13,039
R
31.0%Smith2,486
67.6%Hoover5,417
1.4%Thomas109
−36.6%
8,012
R
11.0%Davis759
50.3%Coolidge3,455
38.7%La Follette2,658
−39.2%
6,872
R
27.8%Cox2,022
64.5%Harding4,699
7.7%Debs563
−36.8%
7,284
D
49.2%Wilson3,273
40.5%Hughes2,694
10.4%Benson692
+8.7%
6,659
O
38.5%Wilson1,295
0.0%Taft0
61.5%Roosevelt2,072
Roosevelt +23.1
3,367
R
35.4%Bryan675
47.6%Taft909
17.0%Debs324
−12.3%
1,908
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1908 to 2024. Most recent: −0.9% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−0.9%DR19082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1908−12.3%
1912+38.5%
1916+8.7%
1920−36.8%
1924−39.2%
1928−36.6%
1932+38.3%
1936+22.4%
1940+5.9%
1944−8.0%
1948−7.8%
1952−24.4%
1956−12.4%
1960−7.5%
1964+3.8%
1968−16.3%
1972−27.1%
1976−1.8%
1980−19.0%
1984−25.1%
1988−11.3%
1992+5.3%
1996+18.5%
2000+10.2%
2004+6.1%
2008+26.2%
2012+32.0%
2016+41.5%
2020+24.4%
2024−0.9%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in El Centro, CARegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 88,694 in 2024.22.2K44.3K66.5K88.7K88.7K20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in El Centro, CA
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
202286,31841,41818,06021,1175,723
202488,69440,57020,32422,0315,769
Source: California Secretary of State

El Centro anchors a heavily Latino, agriculture-driven metro where cross-border economic ties shape local politics and voter priorities more than in almost any other inland California region.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.5 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 39.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 25.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.9 points.

A population of 180,202, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,681 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Laredo, TX and Nogales, AZ.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Laredo, TX
96.1twin score
% Catholic% Latino2016 margin≠ 12-yr trend
Nogales, AZ
95.0twin score
% Catholic% Latino2012–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
94.9twin score
% Latino2012–2016 trajectory% White≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
El Centro, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within El Centro, CA

counties1
Imperial County

Frequently asked questions

How did El Centro, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Centro, CA, California voted Republican by 0.9 points (R+0.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 54,025 votes cast, 26,083 went Democratic and 26,546 went Republican.
When did El Centro, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which El Centro, CA, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in El Centro, CA, California?
El Centro, CA, California has a population of 180,202 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Centro, CA, California?
Median household income in El Centro, CA, California is $57,681 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of El Centro, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in El Centro, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.