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Akashic

state house district

Tennessee 31st State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English14.4%13.3%9.5%

American13.8%11.3%5.3%

Irish10.7%9.3%9.4%

German9.1%9.1%12.5%

Scotch-Irish2.3%1.7%—

Italian2.1%2.2%4.8%

Scottish2.0%2.2%1.3%

French1.4%1.3%1.6%

Mexican2.9%3.8%11.3%

Guatemalan0.7%0.6%0.5%

Puerto Rican0.3%0.6%1.8%

Spaniard0.3%——

African American†1.9%14.3%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	TN HD 31	Tennessee	United States
Median age	44.2	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	7.9%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.8%	17.1%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	TN HD 31	Tennessee	United States
Median household income	$55,753	$69,595	$84,427
Poverty rate	18.3%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.3%	31.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	TN HD 31	Tennessee	United States
Owner-occupied homes	76.4%	66.9%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	23.6%	33.1%	34.8%
Median home value	$204,100	$286,700	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$826	$1,189	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	44.0%	48.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	13.4%	10.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	TN HD 31	Tennessee	United States
Mean commute	31.2 min	25.7 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	15.0%	7.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	77.6%	75.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.2%	0.4%	3.2%
Works from home	8.4%	12.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	TN HD 31	Tennessee	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.3%	8.7%	22.3%
Spanish	2.9%	5.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	TN HD 31	Tennessee	United States
Catholic	—	4.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	36.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	44.5%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	TN HD 31	Tennessee	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.4%	6.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.6%	2.4%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.8%	3.7%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	8.2%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.460	0.476	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic15.8%5,019TrumpRepublican83.3%26,468OtherAll other candidates1.0%303

R+67.5

Lead: 21,449
Total: 31,790
vs nation: R+66.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic17.5%5,182TrumpRepublican81.1%23,972OtherAll other candidates1.4%414

R+63.5

Lead: 18,790
Total: 29,568
vs nation: R+68.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic18.6%4,431TrumpRepublican77.8%18,543OtherAll other candidates3.6%865

R+59.2

Lead: 14,112
Total: 23,839
vs nation: R+61.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic27.9%6,259RomneyRepublican70.3%15,751OtherAll other candidates1.7%392

R+42.4

Lead: 9,492
Total: 22,402
vs nation: R+46.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic29.7%6,990McCainRepublican68.5%16,112OtherAll other candidates1.8%431

R+38.8

Lead: 9,122
Total: 23,533
vs nation: R+46.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic37.9%8,787BushRepublican61.3%14,221OtherAll other candidates0.8%185

R+23.4

Lead: 5,434
Total: 23,193
vs nation: R+21.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic41.9%8,381BushRepublican56.5%11,294OtherAll other candidates1.6%311

R+14.6

Lead: 2,913
Total: 19,986
vs nation: R+15.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic46.4%8,198DoleRepublican45.2%7,997OtherAll other candidates8.4%1,486

D+1.1

Lead: 201
Total: 17,681
vs nation: R+7.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+67.5MIT Election Lab
Population: 69,7772024 5-year
Population density: 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,261 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $55,7532024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 88.9%2024 5-year
Black: 2.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+33.6 in 1876MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+67.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 36, TN · twin score 97.9

presidential history

Party record book

Tennessee 31st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Samuel J. Tilden1876

66.8%

1,525 votes · D+33.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 58.4%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

83.3%

26,468 votes · R+67.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Bill Clinton1992

9,256votes

46.3% of the vote · D+3.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 8,787 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

26,468votes

83.3% of the vote · R+67.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 23,972 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+28.8pts D vs U.S.

Place D+3.6 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +22.3 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+68.0pts R vs U.S.

Place R+63.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +66.0 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RRon TravisState House · 31

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	15.5%4,347	84.5%23,732	28,079
2020	R	20.7%5,510	79.3%21,118	26,628

With a 67.5-point Republican presidential margin, this district ranks among the most heavily one-sided in the state, reflecting a rural electorate that has shifted decisively away from competitive two-party contests over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.6 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 67.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.5 points.

A population of 69,777, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,753 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 36 and State House District 38.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 36

2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

State House District 38

2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry

State House District 26

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Tennessee 31st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2018 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Tennessee 31st State House District

counties it covers4

Bledsoe County Rhea County Sequatchie County Van Buren County

Frequently asked questions

How did Tennessee 31st State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Tennessee 31st State House District voted Republican by 67.5 points (R+67.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,790 votes cast, 5,019 went Democratic and 26,468 went Republican.

When did Tennessee 31st State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Tennessee 31st State House District voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Tennessee 31st State House District?

Tennessee 31st State House District has a population of 69,777 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Tennessee 31st State House District?

Median household income in Tennessee 31st State House District is $55,753 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Tennessee 31st State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee 31st State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.