Tennessee 38th State House District, Tennessee: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+75%. Republican peak: R+75 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+75MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 72,1952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,7592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+7 in 1992MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 38, TNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,980 | 28,040 | 32,279 | ||
| R | 4,250 | 25,489 | 29,991 | ||
| R | 3,881 | 19,939 | 24,376 | ||
| R | 5,650 | 16,849 | 22,808 | ||
| R | 9,379 | 17,890 | 27,756 | ||
| R | 9,893 | 14,897 | 24,913 | ||
| R | 10,348 | 11,658 | 22,251 | ||
| R | 8,545 | 8,607 | 18,785 | ||
| D | 10,325 | 8,851 | 21,047 | ||
| R | 6,032 | 9,717 | 15,843 | ||
| R | 6,552 | 10,701 | 17,358 | ||
| R | 6,691 | 10,035 | 17,018 | ||
| D | 7,952 | 7,479 | 15,562 | ||
| R | 2,719 | 8,248 | 11,164 | ||
| R | 2,978 | 7,442 | 13,310 | ||
| R | 6,267 | 6,941 | 13,209 | ||
| R | 4,138 | 9,949 | 14,200 | ||
| R | 3,956 | 8,660 | 12,714 | ||
| R | 4,370 | 8,953 | 13,334 | ||
| R | 3,975 | 6,188 | 10,386 | ||
| R | 3,098 | 6,680 | 9,845 | ||
| R | 4,627 | 6,069 | 10,743 | ||
| R | 3,245 | 5,190 | 8,530 | ||
| R | 3,993 | 4,850 | 8,982 | ||
| R | 1,836 | 6,742 | 8,604 | ||
| R | 2,515 | 5,271 | 8,060 | ||
| R | 3,065 | 8,724 | 11,858 | ||
| R | 2,493 | 4,697 | 7,349 | ||
| R | 2,305 | 2,424 | 6,705 | ||
| R | 2,219 | 5,191 | 7,480 | ||
| R | 1,967 | 4,475 | 6,525 | ||
| R | 2,401 | 4,284 | 6,715 | ||
| R | 2,481 | 4,565 | 7,081 | ||
| R | 2,073 | 3,353 | 5,881 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
22.5%
English
13.8%
Irish
8.5%
German
6.3%
Italian
2.2%
Scottish
1.9%
French
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$50,759
State House District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 38$50,759
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
20.8%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1826.7%
Working age (18–64)19.2%
Seniors (65+)17.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.7%
speak English only
Spanish2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Other Indo-European0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
District 38 recorded an R+74.1 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided state house districts in the country. Its electorate shows near-uniform partisan alignment, leaving little competitive ground for statewide or national candidates.
The Democratic margin in Tennessee 38th State House District peaked at seven points in 1992. By 1996 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seventy-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $50,759 sits well below state and national norms, and 21% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 38, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 38, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 38, Tennessee voted Republican by 74.5 points (R+75), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 32,279 votes cast, 3,980 went Democratic and 28,040 went Republican.
What is State House District 38, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 38, Tennessee as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 32 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 38, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 38, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in State House District 38, Tennessee?
State House District 38, Tennessee has a population of 72,195 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 38, Tennessee?
Median household income in State House District 38, Tennessee is $50,759 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of State House District 38, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 38, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.