Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Tennessee 38th State House District
presidential margin
2008R+39.12012R+50.32016R+65.82020R+70.42024R+74.1
full record · 2008 → 2024
R+74.1
2024
median income$50,021U.S. $80,734 · TN $69,595
median age42.6U.S. 39.1 · TN 39.3
poverty rate21.2%U.S. 12.5% · TN 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)13.3%U.S. 35.6% · TN 31.3%
non-english2.3%U.S. 22.3% · TN 8.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American22.8%
English14.0%
Irish8.6%
Mexican2.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Scott County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Tennessee 38th State House District

Akashic
Tennessee 38th State House DistrictTrumpR+74.1
2024
2024 presidential margin for Tennessee 38th State House DistrictThe boundary of Tennessee 38th State House District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (R+74.1), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Tennessee 38th State House District · R+74.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican86.7%27,182
Kamala HarrisDemocratic12.6%3,943
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent0.8%237
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 6 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (6 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Tennessee 38th State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Clay County, TNRepublicanR+66.6
Fentress County, TNRepublicanR+75.8
Macon County, TNRepublicanR+74.2
Monroe County, KYRepublicanR+77.3
Pickett County, TNRepublicanR+66.1
Scott County, TNRepublicanR+79.8
5 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
12.6%Harris3,943
86.7%Trump27,182
0.8%Kennedy237
−74.1%
31,362
R
14.4%Biden4,206
84.8%Trump24,775
0.9%Jorgensen249
−70.4%
29,230
R
16.0%Clinton3,802
81.8%Trump19,441
2.2%Johnson531
−65.8%
23,774
R
24.9%Obama5,474
75.1%Romney16,553
0.0%
−50.3%
22,027
R
29.2%Obama6,788
68.3%McCain15,895
2.5%Nader592
−39.1%
23,275
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −74.1% in 2024.−74.1%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−39.1%
2012−50.3%
2016−65.8%
2020−70.4%
2024−74.1%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RKelly KeislingState House · 38

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Source · OpenStates current legislator CSV.

District 38 recorded an R+74.1 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided state house districts in the country. Its electorate shows near-uniform partisan alignment, leaving little competitive ground for statewide or national candidates.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 74.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 74.1 points.

A population of 68,170, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,021 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 45 and State House District 31.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 45
Virginia
98.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State House District 31
Tennessee
97.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
State House District 72
Kentucky
97.4twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectoryelasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Tennessee 38th State House District

counties it covers5
Clay CountyFentress CountyMacon CountyPickett CountyScott County

Frequently asked questions

How did Tennessee 38th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee 38th State House District voted Republican by 74.1 points (R+74.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,362 votes cast, 3,943 went Democratic and 27,182 went Republican.
How many people live in Tennessee 38th State House District?
Tennessee 38th State House District has a population of 68,170 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee 38th State House District?
Median household income in Tennessee 38th State House District is $50,021 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee 38th State House District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Tennessee 38th State House District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.