- Lead
- 25,194
- Total
- 43,241
- vs nation
- R+56.8
Virginia 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 23,567
- Total
- 42,490
- vs nation
- R+59.9
- Lead
- 20,238
- Total
- 38,037
- vs nation
- R+55.3
- Lead
- 12,413
- Total
- 36,716
- vs nation
- R+37.7
- Lead
- 10,482
- Total
- 36,540
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Lead
- 11,209
- Total
- 35,292
- vs nation
- R+29.3
- Lead
- 6,965
- Total
- 32,678
- vs nation
- R+21.8
- Lead
- 1,209
- Total
- 30,347
- vs nation
- R+12.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,4472024 5-year
- Population density
- 60 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,424 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $51,7632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65.6 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 47, VA · twin score 98.2
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
34.7%
12,673 votes · R+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 33.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.8%
34,064 votes · R+58.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 77.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,673votes
34.7% of the vote · R+28.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 11,829 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
34,064votes
78.8% of the vote · R+58.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 32,774 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−29.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+31.8 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −36.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+59.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +56.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+58.3, this district ranks among the most reliably conservative constituencies in Virginia, suggesting a rural or exurban electorate with limited competitive pressure in most cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.6 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 58.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.3 points.
A population of 85,447, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,763 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 47 and State House District 38.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.