- Lead
- 5,045
- Total
- 32,472
- vs nation
- R+14.1
Tennessee 30th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,935
- Total
- 33,784
- vs nation
- R+19.1
- Lead
- 6,998
- Total
- 27,903
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Lead
- 6,632
- Total
- 27,578
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Lead
- 6,112
- Total
- 28,773
- vs nation
- R+28.5
- Lead
- 6,627
- Total
- 26,686
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Lead
- 5,021
- Total
- 23,406
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Lead
- 3,308
- Total
- 21,504
- vs nation
- R+23.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 73,2812024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,290 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 56.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,7742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 27, SC · twin score 92.6
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 30th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
65.6%
2,851 votes · D+31.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 58.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
74.2%
12,312 votes · R+52.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 68.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
14,071votes
41.6% of the vote · R+14.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 13,435 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
19,006votes
56.3% of the vote · R+14.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 18,480 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+12.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+14.0 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +10.0 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+34.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +29.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 41.0%13,192 | 59.0%19,015 | 32,207 |
Its Republican presidential margin was R+15.5 in 2024 and R+21.2 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 40.2% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.5 points.
A population of 73,281, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,774 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 27 and State House District 29.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 30th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.