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state house district

Missouri 148th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German20.1%21.3%12.5%

English11.0%11.9%9.5%

Irish9.9%11.8%9.4%

American9.0%6.8%5.3%

Dutch1.8%——

Scottish1.7%1.8%1.3%

French1.5%2.2%1.6%

Scotch-Irish1.1%——

African American†11.8%10.0%9.9%

Mexican2.2%3.2%11.3%

Chilean0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 148	Missouri	United States
Median age	39.7	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	8.2%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.6%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 148	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$62,782	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.8%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	22.1%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 148	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	71.1%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	28.9%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$154,400	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$873	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	43.8%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	9.1%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 148	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	18.6 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	3.7%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	83.1%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	4.4%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 148	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.2%	6.7%	22.3%
Spanish	1.3%	2.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 148	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 148	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	0.6%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.3%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.3%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.3%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.461	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic20.2%3,525TrumpRepublican79.1%13,786OtherAll other candidates0.6%110

R+58.9

Lead: 10,261
Total: 17,421
vs nation: R+57.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic21.2%3,753TrumpRepublican77.7%13,769OtherAll other candidates1.1%197

R+56.5

Lead: 10,016
Total: 17,719
vs nation: R+61.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic20.6%3,575TrumpRepublican76.0%13,168OtherAll other candidates3.4%594

R+55.3

Lead: 9,593
Total: 17,337
vs nation: R+57.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic30.1%5,122RomneyRepublican68.4%11,623OtherAll other candidates1.5%254

R+38.2

Lead: 6,501
Total: 16,999
vs nation: R+42.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic34.6%6,258McCainRepublican63.9%11,563OtherAll other candidates1.4%261

R+29.3

Lead: 5,305
Total: 18,082
vs nation: R+36.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic34.7%6,057BushRepublican64.9%11,330OtherAll other candidates0.3%61

R+30.2

Lead: 5,273
Total: 17,448
vs nation: R+27.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic41.1%6,452BushRepublican57.3%8,999OtherAll other candidates1.6%253

R+16.2

Lead: 2,547
Total: 15,704
vs nation: R+16.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic46.0%7,011DoleRepublican43.5%6,641OtherAll other candidates10.5%1,600

D+2.4

Lead: 370
Total: 15,252
vs nation: R+6.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+58.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 38,0492024 5-year
Population density: 91 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 420 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $62,7822024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 80.4%2024 5-year
Black: 11.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+58.3 in 1876MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+58.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 48, MO · twin score 96.6

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 148th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Samuel J. Tilden1876

79.2%

1,163 votes · D+58.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 76.5%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

79.1%

13,786 votes · R+58.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 77.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Harry S. Truman1948

8,266votes

76.5% of the vote · D+53.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 8,075 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

13,786votes

79.1% of the vote · R+58.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,769 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+49.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+43.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +48.7 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+61.0pts R vs U.S.

Place R+56.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +57.4 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RDavid DolanState House · 148

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	19.2%3,316	80.8%13,989	17,305
2018	R	22.7%3,199	77.3%10,896	14,095

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+58.9, this district sits at the far end of Missouri's partisan spectrum, suggesting a rural or small-town electorate where statewide Republican candidates routinely post some of their largest margins.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.3 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 58.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.9 points.

A population of 38,049, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,782 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District 151.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 48

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend

State House District 151

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend

State House District 43

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 148th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29148/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Places within Missouri 148th State House District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 148th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 148th State House District voted Republican by 58.9 points (R+58.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,421 votes cast, 3,525 went Democratic and 13,786 went Republican.

When did Missouri 148th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 148th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Missouri 148th State House District?

Missouri 148th State House District has a population of 38,049 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 148th State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 148th State House District is $62,782 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 148th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 148th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.